International Financial Management
Foreign Exchange Risk Analysis
Assignment submitted by:
CURRENCY EXPOSURE
A currency exposure is any business operation whose profitability can be impacted by a currency exchange rate fluctuation.
Currency exposures assume many forms: they can be assets or liabilities; current or committed; contracted or merely forecast; they can be for trade, investment or balance sheet purposes. Cases of currency exposure can emerge at any point along the value chain, with various repercussions. Each requires a transfer of funds, and for each the rate of exchange is uncertain. Examples of different types of currency exposures are presented below.
FIGURE 1: CURRENCY
…show more content…
When an input (machinery, components, capital, labor, etc.) is denominated in a foreign currency, the risk exists that an unfavorable exchange rate movement will increase the cost of doing business. When the products are priced and sold in a foreign currency, an adverse exchange rate movement will make the product appear more expensive to consumers, decreasing demand or forcing the company to reduce its own profit margin to maintain lower price levels. For companies with integrated international business systems, an exchange rate shock can literally force them out of business, with their operations experiencing pressures from both cost and profit centers.
The following example illustrate this situation.
• Company A, based in the United Kingdom, has purchased equipment from a supplier in Germany. Company A has entered a contract to pay its supplier in annual installments of 100,000 DM. The first year, with an exchange rate of 1.50 £/DM, Company A must pay £66,667. The next year the exchange rate has depreciated to 1.40 £/DM. Thus Company A must now exchange £71,429 in order to have the DM 100,000 necessary to repay its debt, a 7.14 percent increase from the previous year. As the exchange rate continues to depreciate, it becomes increasingly expensive for the British company to repay its debt.
| |COMPANY A’S TRANSACTION EXPOSURE | | |
| | |Year
According to Investopedia, transaction exposure is defined as the risk faced by companies in international trade, that currency exchange rates will change after the companies have already entered into financial obligations. Such exposure to fluctuating exchange rates can lead to major losses for the firm. With this being said, Universal Circuit’s transaction risk is low because its sales invoices are in US dollars and on average, the affiliates pay the Irish branch in fifty five days.
Due to the geographic diversity of countries where BHP Billiton has extended to, the variation of foreign exchange rate obviously plays a crucial role on its financial performance. According to the annual report of BHP Billiton (2015), US dollar is not only the functional currency utilized in majority of sales and transaction, but also the presentation
Currency risks are majorly involved with expanding into foreign markets. Due to the fluctuations of exchange rates, apples profits can vary due to demand and supply. The value of a currency is varied due to currency depreciation and appreciation and this fluctuation and
c. Exchange rate risks: significant portion of revenue stream born currency exchange risk (peso vs. USD) regardless of geographical and product diversification. These risks were absolutely external and thus could have been hardly mitigated.
* Currency exposure is the extent to which the future cash flows of an enterprise, arising from domestic and foreign currency denominated transactions involving assets and liabilities, and generating revenues and expenses, are susceptible to variations in foreign currency exchange rates.
Given the nature of its business, Jaguar is faced with three types of exchange rate exposure (1) Transaction, (2) Translation and (3) Economic . Transaction exposures arise whenever the firm commits (or is contractually obligated) to make or receive a payment at a future date denominated in a foreign currency. Translation exposures arise from accounting based changes in consolidated financial statements caused by a change in exchange rates. In this case we primarily focus on the Economic exposure -also known as Operating exposure or Competitive exposure- of Jaguar.
Currency fluctuations are the result of floating exchange rates. This can a negative or positive outcome for the company. This is mainly due to supply and demand factors in each individual market. In many instances nations can adjust their exchange rates. A common fallacy that most people harbor is that a strong domestic currency is a good thing (“The effects of currency fluctuations on the economy, “2013) this might seem like a good thing, but it can hurt the company in the long run.
Foreign Exchange Risk – – – – sell software in local currencies installment from three-to-five years creates foreign exchange exposure exchange rate fluctuations 52% revenue generated from foreign company with following revenues figures: • • • • Europe 31% Asia 12% Other countries 9% In United State 48%. Risk exposure are might be applicable : – – Transaction Exposure (High) most the costumer operated outside of US Translation Exposure (Low) convert foreign currency financial statements into a single currency (USD). Risk Exposure 2.
Exhibit 7 from the case study describes the currency development in medium term of the GBP and EURO against the dollar. We can observe that the currencies are exposed to high volatility, which means the company may register greater risk
The main exchange rates exposures are: British pounds, Deutsch Mark, Japanese Yen and Belgian Francs.
As business becomes more increasingly global, it's very important that countries pay close attention to foreign exchange exposures in order to design ways of implementing appropriate strategies to properly deal with these types of exposures. In this paper I will attempt to forecast the degree of transaction, translation and the economic exposure for Russia. I will follow that by forecasting the degree of these specific areas and analyzing the various techniques used to mitigate these exposures. The goal of this paper is to identify a few concepts of transaction, translation, and economic exposure for international operations in Russia.
There has been significant changes in the international economy and politics that has led to uncertainty regarding the direction of foreign exchange rates that lead to volatility and the need to hedge foreign exchange rate risk and interest rate changes (Nobile, 2005). If a price is quoted ahead of time for a contract, the price may not be appropriate at the time of the actual agreement or the performance of the contract because of fluctuations in the foreign currency. The interest rate will have a differential between the two country currencies. A business or individual investor that buys foreign currency to purchase
IOI Corporation Berhad can use hedging in order to mitigate the foreign exchange risk. IOI can hedge the foreign exchange through spot contract, forwards or future contract, option contract and swap. The spot contracts fix exchange rate against fluctuations and the company might not be able to get benefit but also no get loss in spot contract even loss also just lose a little money. Besides that, IOI can offset foreign currency holdings with futures and forward contracts. A forward contract is a transaction in which the delivery of the commodity is postponed until the contract has been made. The delivery is often in the future, however, the price is well determined in advance. Hedging is the act of taking an offsetting position in a related security. A perfect hedge can reduce risk to nothing except the cost of the hedge. Furthermore, IOI can use option contract to reduce foreign exchange risks. Just like stocks, currencies have calls and puts that allow buyers to buy or sell the financial asset at a predetermined price during a certain period of time or on a exercise date. Lastly, IOI can use swap to to mitigate the foreign exchange risk. The company could swap to take advantage of the lower
Currency risk is the possibility that the currency chosen for payment of the import fluctuates in value relative to the exchange currency. Take a case where a British firm exporting to France wants payment in pounds while the Importer (French) wants to make the payment in Euros. If the export contract
Great Eastern Toys is a company in Hong Kong that exports a huge percent of its total sales to the North American and European markets and hence is exposed to currency risk. Previously, the company was occupied with expanding their business and the company 's management had never given much attention to currency risk until their recent meeting with their banker. The banker pointed out that the depreciation of the European currencies during the previous two years had resulted in a substantial loss of income. The company 's management was indeed convinced that they should begin to devote more time and manage their currency position. In this report, we are going to explore the different options for Great Eastern Toys to hedge