GDP Research Paper Kechen Sun Econ-201 Spring 2016 Gross Domestic Product, also known as GDP, is defined as the dollar value of all final goods and service produced within the border of a country during a specific period of time, typically in one year. GDP measures the value for the whole country, and it also changes quickly. We can take a look at the trends of US GDP in the website of the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the time period shown in the BEA release highlights document (2015, bea.gov), it is clear that real GDP increased 2.0 percent in the third quarter of 2015, according to the third estimate by the BEA. The document also states that the main driver of the increasing GDP is the rise in consumer spending on …show more content…
According to easynomics.com, from Q3 2012-Q2 2015, there was a confirmed upward trend with real GDP rising which translates to approximately 2.26 percent annual growth rate. Although the increase rate is too slow that people may not feel the recovery, but it does suggest the increase. My prediction is that GDP will increase steadily in the future. According to econedlink.org, a nation’s maximum or potential GDP or its potential output is the highest level of output that can be maintained over the long term, given any constraints on the nation’s productive resources. And a limit supply of labor, natural resource, service and capital will result in the limit of potential output, which means, the limit of GDP (2015, econedlink). Besides, according to our textbook, the determinants of economic growth to which we can attribute changes in growth rates include four supply factors: changes in the quantity and quality of natural resources, changes in the quantity and quality of human resources, changes in the stock of capital goods, and improvements in technology (2015, McConnell) . And also according to econedlink.com, when an economy is at full employment, no more workers can be hired for additional job. But now given the high unemployment in US right now, there should be enough workers available for service or production. Although US’s current GDP may be below its potential right now, a change
The Department of Finance anticipates an improvement in real GDP growth of 1.1% in 2014, consistent with
GDP & GDP Growth (Trend) - The economy of Canada shortens by 0.4 % in the last three months’ quarter. In the first and second quarter of 2015 it also shortens by 0.2% and 0.1% respectively but at the end of the year, it will able to achieve moderate results. This narrow down in Canadian economy is mainly caused by the decline in crude petroleum output. Since 2009 this is the biggest contraction in the
Euler Hermes also reported that GDP growth, income and consumption remain positive but “are growing at below-trend rates” (par. 1) and the housing market remains stagnant. The group further projects that GDP growth is expected to remain positive but weak with growth of about 2% in 2012 and 2013. In the third quarter 2012, real GDP increased at an annual rate of 2.0% (from second to third quarter) with a real GDP increase of 1.3% in the first quarter (Focus on Economic Data, 2012). Fiscal policy remains in turmoil with issues such as those relating to payroll and Bush tax cuts and the likelihood of lifting the debt ceiling again (Economic Outlook, 2012).
As the employment rate is improving, so would be the GDP for the U.S. A year ago, the GDP was 16661.0 billion, a month ago, it was 17311.3 billion and this week the GDP reported 17328.2 billion, which indicates that the economy is improving. There is a total increase in the Gross Domestic Product of 667.2 billion this year (Bostjancic, K. (2104). The GDP is being closely monitored by the Federal Reserve Bank (Fed) to determine if the economy is growing too quickly or too slowly. If it is determined that the economy is growing too quickly, to avoid inflation the Fed will increase interest rates. Likewise, if it is growing too slowly then interest rates will decrease to increase consumers spending and expand company investment.
Trade contribution to GDP has been disappointing, but government spending at 20.4BN in the June quarter encouraged JP Morgan to raise GDP forecast to 0.6%, leaving annual GDP growth at a steady 3.4%.
In 2014, the most recent complete fiscal year, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of the United States was $17.42 trillion (The World Bank, 2015). This is an increase of 3.9% over the 2013 GDP of $16.7 trillion and a drastic 17.2% increase over the GDP just 5 years ago in 2010 (Trading Economics, 2015). The US GDP represented 28.1% of the total world economy during that time (Trading Economics, 2015). Along with the improved GDP, the US has also experienced a reduction in the unemployment rate. The unemployment rate at the beginning of 2010 was 9.8% and it fell to 5.6% by the end of 2014 (United States Department of Labor, 2015).
In the 3rd quarter of 2012 the real GDP growth in the United States of America was at 2.5%. However in the 4th quarter it went down to 0.1%, followed by 2.7% in the 1st, 1.8% in the 2nd, 4.5% in the 3rd and 3.5% in the 4th quarter of 2013. While the annual growth rate of the real GDP was 1.9% in 2013.
The U.S Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the first of 2016 increased by 1.1 percent as per chart below. Later in 2015 1.4 percent increase is realized, earlier in 2014 there is decrease in the GDP with consecutive increase in the other quarters of the year, in 2013 there is increase in all the four quarters as per the chart 1 below retrieved from bea.gov.
Currently, the real GDP increased from the first quarter of the year (2017). But the real GDP is expected to decrease within the next four years. Based on the given data, the rate of increase for real GDP is decreasing from 2.9% to 1.9% by 2020. This is a problem because the higher the percentage increase, the better the economy is in the long run. The unemployment rate is currently 4.1%. Currently, the unemployment rate is in a good position because it is below the natural rate of unemployment, which is 5.0%. The data states that the median unemployment rate for 2017 is 4.3, and is projected to slightly decrease to 4.2% by 2019. The median PCE Inflation rate for 2017 is 1.6% and is expected to increase to
Needless to say, the rapid growth China has exhibited could not last forever. Over the past 5 years, growth in the nation has slowed to 7%. To put this in perspective, the U.S. grew 3.7% in Q2 of 2015 while the IMF projects global growth at 3.1% over the course of 2015. Even with slower growth than prior years, China’s growth still outpaces a majority of countries including advanced economies.
According to Staff review of the Economic Situation for January 28-29, the economic growth rate picked up in the second half of 2013. There was a gradual increase in the total payroll employment and a decline in unemployment rate. Consumer price inflation was still performing poorly than expected, while longer-term inflation expectations remained stable.
The GDP growth rate per year is derived from the reported GDP (in dollars $), therefore, the GDP ($) for 2004 and 2014 is needed in order to get a single summary growth rate for all 10 years (2004-2014). According to World Bank, the U.S. GDP for 2014 was $17,419,000,000,000.00 and the GDP for 2004 was $12,274,928,000,000.00. As a result, we get an annual GDP growth rate of 3.56% over the 10 years (2004-2014).
GDP drop to 2.3 percent in the June quarter from a year earlier in which growth has fallen short of potential growth (3.5 percent). The economy has been below trend for since August 2012.
The gross domestic product (GDP) is one the primary indicators used to gauge the health of a country's economy. It represents the total dollar value of all goods and services
We expect emerging economies to continue to grow by more than 4 percent (contributing $16.2 trillion to global growth through 2020 at market exchange rates), while the growth rate of advanced economies is forecast to exceed 2 percent (contributing $13.5 trillion through 2020) for the first time since 2010. The United States is leading the recovery among advanced markets, and we expect the country to be a significant contributor to global growth through 2020.