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Project Management Study Guide Essay

Satisfactory Essays

Decision Trees - Chelst Chapter 10 Exercises – Kimberly Matthews
10.1 – Sequential decisions: Present an example of a sequence of two or more decisions followed by an uncertainty.
Should we open a bakery or a diner?
If we open a bakery, should we sell specialty items, like wedding cakes, or sell a variety of baked goods?
If we open a diner, should we be open from 6am – 11pm daily or should we be open 24 hours?

10.2 – Information gathering and decisions: Think of a decision scenario where decisions are interspersed with random events.
Avon wants to invent their own line of long-wearing lipstick (8+ hours). * Other companies already offer long-wearing lipstick, so will this just saturate the market? * Can Avon come up with …show more content…

It is sensitive enough that a 5% decrease in the variable cost of the low investment strategy will cause a shift in the optimal strategy at around $25.90. b) What do you notice with regard to the slope?
The slope is zero for the high investment strategy because the variable cost of low investment does not affect it. The slope of the low investment strategy is negative. As the variable cost of the low investment increases, the expected value decreases.

10.5 a, b, d and F – a) Calculate the net profit of each combination of decision and competitor action.
Down Home opens a drive-thru with no competition: $84,000
Down Home opens a drive-thru with competition: $44,000
Down Home serves breakfast with no competition: $113,000
Down Home serves breakfast with competition: $33,000 b) What is the best alternative if no competitor opens nearby? Serving Breakfast.
What is the best alternative if a competitor opens nearby? Open a drive-thru. d) What decision should the company follow and what is the expected value? He should serve breakfast, because his expected value will be $85,000. f) Recall that the owner treated the layout redesign the same as other annual costs. Would the decision change if he considered only 50% of these redesign costs this year? He should change to doing a drive-thru service because his expected value would increase to $120,000.

10.6 b and c b) Should Red Hen

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