.You are considering three investment alternatives for some spare cash: Old Reliable Corporation stock (A1), Fly-By-Nite Air Cargo Company stock (A2), and a federally insured savings certificate (A3). You expect the economy will either "boom" (N1) or “bust” (N2), and you estimate that a boom is more likely (?1= 0.6) than a bust (?2= 0.4). Outcomes for the three alternatives are expected to be (1) $2000 in boom or $500 in bust for ORC; (2) $6000 in boom but $-5000 (loss) in bust for FBN: and (3) $1200 for the certificate in either case. Set up a payoff table (decision matrix) for this problem and show which it Alternative maximizes expected value. 5-7. If you have no idea of the economic probabilities ??, in question 5-6, what would be your decision based on uncertainty using (a) maximax, (b) maximin, and (c) equally likely.

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.You are considering three investment alternatives for some spare cash: Old Reliable Corporation stock (A1), Fly-By-Nite Air Cargo Company stock (A2), and a federally insured savings certificate (A3). You expect the economy will either "boom" (N1) or “bust” (N2), and you estimate that a boom is more likely (?1= 0.6) than a bust (?2= 0.4). Outcomes for the three alternatives are expected to be (1) $2000 in boom or $500 in bust for ORC; (2) $6000 in boom but $-5000 (loss) in bust for FBN: and (3) $1200 for the certificate in either case. Set up a payoff table (decision matrix) for this problem and show which it Alternative maximizes expected value. 5-7. If you have no idea of the economic probabilities ??, in question 5-6, what would be your decision based on uncertainty using (a) maximax, (b) maximin, and (c) equally likely.
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