2. Alex plays football for a local club in Kumasi. If he does not suffer any injury b y the end of the season, he will get a professional contract with Kotoko, which is worth $10,000. If he is injured though, he will get a contract as a fitness coa ch worth $100. The probability of the injury is 10%. Describe the lottery What is the expected value of this lottery? What is the expected utility of this lottery if u(x) = √X Assume he could buy insurance at price P that could pay $9,900 in case of inj ury. What is the highest value of P that makes it worthwhile for Alex to purcha se insurance? What is the certainty equivalence for this lottery?
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- Utility Theory You live in an area that has a possibility of incurring a massive earthquake, so you are considering buyingearthquake insurance on your home at an annual cost of $180. The probability of an earthquake damagingyour home during one year is 0.001. If this happens, you estimate that the cost of the damage (fully coveredby earthquake insurance) will be $160,000. Your total assets (including your home) are worth $250,000. A. Apply Bayes’ decision rule to determine which alternative (take the insurance or not) maximizes yourexpected assets after one year.2. Two individuals have the same income ($100,000), but different potential healthcare expenses. Person A's probability of having $80,000 in healthcare expenses is 0.5 percent. Person B's probability of having $800 in healthcare expenses is 50 percent. Assume your utility is U = VI where I is your income. Calculate each person's expected income and expected utility. Calculate each person's certainty equivalent. What does value of the certainty equivalent tell you about how much each person would be willing to insure against their loss?Johnny is "paid" by his parents $2o if he gets a grade A, $10 if he gets a grade B, whereas he has to pay his parents back $5 if he gets a grade other than A or B. On average 20% of the grades he gets are A, and 30% are grades B. What is the expected value of what he "earns" per grade ? What is the expected value of what he "earns" at school weekly if on average he gets five grades a week ? How long should Jim save until he collects enough money to buy a pair of brand new Hi-Fi headphones that cost $225?
- 4) You are a financial professional working in a corporate loan department. A company named Mitch Hedberg Inc. (MH) comes to you for a loan. MH has debt from a previous loan (given by a different firm than yours) of 200. Your company analysts say that MH is likely to earn either 180, 240, or 300 this year - each with a probability of 1/3. MH wants you to lend them 100. MH could use this borrowed 100 to do either project X or project Y. Project X has a guaranteed return of 125 if the 100 is put there. Project Y may return either 0 or 210; each has probability of 1/2 and also costs 100 to do. a) Which project, X or Y, has the larger expected value? b) If you lend MH the 100, what will they do with the money? Why? Show your math. c) Should you lend MH the money or not? Show your math. d) Why did I choose the letters "MH" for this problem? What financial economic concept with initials "MH" is important in this problem?2. Ronald has $18,000. But he is forced to bet it on the flip of a fair coin. If he wins he has $36,000. If he loses he has nothing. Ronald's expected utility function is 0.5x0.5 + 0.5y0.5, where x is his wealth if heads comes up and y is his wealth if tails comes up. What safe income would make him exactly as well off as this bet?Bob earn 60,000 a year and an accounting firm each year he receives Reyes Bob has determined that the probability that he receives a 10% raise is .7 the probability that he earns a 3% raise is .2 and the probability that he earns a 2% raise is .1 a competing company has offered Bob a similar position for 65,000 a year Bob wonders if he should take the new job or take his chances with his current job. a. Find the mathematical expectation of the dollar amount of his raise at his current job b.
- 4) Luke is planning an around-the-world trip on which he plans to spend $10,000. The utility from the trip is a function of how much she spends on it (Y ), given by U(Y) = InY a). If there is a 25 percent probability that Luke will lose $1000 of his cash on the trip, what is the trip's expected utility. b). Suppose that Luke can buy insurance to fully against losing the $1,000 with a actuarially fair insurance. What is his expected utility if he purchase this insurance. Will he purchase the insurance? c). Now suppose utility function is U(Y) = Y/1000 What is his expected utility if he purchase the insurance in b). Will he purchase the insurance?The chief executive officer of a publishing company says she is indifferentbetween the certainty of receiving $7,500 and a gamble where there is a 0.5 chance of receiving $5,000 and a 0.5 chance of receiving $10,000. a). Does she seem to be a risk averter, a risk lover, or risk- neutral? Explain. b). What is the coefficient of variation of the risky option (gamble)?You are trying to decide between rescuing a puppy or an older dog. You decide to try to assign some numbers to your preferences so you can compare options. You estimate that your utility for a dog that will chew your furniture is 0.1 and your utility for a dog that can go on hikes with you is 0.8. You expect that a puppy will have an 70% chance of chewing your belongings and a 90% chance of going on hikes. What is your expected utility for getting the puppy?
- Economics Shawn's consumption is subject to risk. With probability 0.75 he will enjoy 10000 in consumption, but with probability 0.25 he will have only 3600. His utility function for consumption is given by v(c) = Vc. -What is the expected value of Shawn's consumption? -What is his expected utility? -What is his certainty equivalent of having 10000 with probability 0.75 and 3600 with probability 0.25?In a final round of a MegaMillion TV show, a contestant has won $1 millionand has a chance of doubling the reward. If he loses his winnings drop to$500,000. The contestant thinks his chances of winning are 50%. Should heplay? What is the lowest probability of a correct guess that will make his betprofitable? Show work1. Now, imagine that Port Chester decides to crack down on motorists who park illegally by increasing the number of officers issuing parking tickets (thus, raising the probability of a ticket). If the cost of a ticket is $100, and the opportunity cost for the average driver of searching for parking is $12, which of the following probabilities would make the average person stop parking illegally? Assume that people will not park illegally if the expected value of doing so is negative. Check all that apply. A. 9% B. 18% C. 17% D. 10% 2. Alternatively, the city could hold the number of officers constant and discourage parking violations by raising the fine for illegal parking. Suppose the average probability of getting caught for parking illegally is currently 10% citywide, and the average opportunity cost of parking is, again, $12. The fine that would make the average person indifferent between searching for parking and parking illegally is ____ , assuming that people will not…