A company is evaluating 3 different distribution plans for a new product. The company has developed best case (60% probability) and worst case (40% probability) estimates for each plan. Results are summarized in the table below. What is the optimal decision based on the maximum expected value criterion? Worst Best Plan 1 -2 10 Plan 2 3 6 Plan 3 4 5 Prob 0.4 0.6

EBK HEALTH ECONOMICS AND POLICY
7th Edition
ISBN:9781337668279
Author:Henderson
Publisher:Henderson
Chapter4: Economic Evaluation In Health Care
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 10QAP
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A company is evaluating 3 different distribution plans for a new product. The company has
developed best case (60% probability) and worst case (40% probability) estimates for each plan.
Results are summarized in the table below. What is the optimal decision based on the maximum
expected value criterion?
Worst
Best
Plan 1
-2
10
Plan 2
3
6
Plan 3
4
5
Prob
0.4
0.6
Transcribed Image Text:A company is evaluating 3 different distribution plans for a new product. The company has developed best case (60% probability) and worst case (40% probability) estimates for each plan. Results are summarized in the table below. What is the optimal decision based on the maximum expected value criterion? Worst Best Plan 1 -2 10 Plan 2 3 6 Plan 3 4 5 Prob 0.4 0.6
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