A group of doctors is considering the construction of a private clinic. IF the medical demand is high (favorable market for the clinic), the physicians could realize a profit of P1,000,000. If the market is not favorable, they could lose P400,000. If they don’t proceed at all, there is no cost. In the absence of any market research, the best the physician can guess is that there is a 50-50 chance the clinic will be successful. Required: Construct a decision tree to help analyze this problem. What should the doctors do?

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter2: Introduction To Spreadsheet Modeling
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A group of doctors is considering the construction of a private clinic. IF the medical demand is high (favorable market for the clinic), the physicians could realize a profit of P1,000,000. If the market is not favorable, they could lose P400,000. If they don’t proceed at all, there is no cost. In the absence of any market research, the best the physician can guess is that there is a 50-50 chance the clinic will be successful.

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Construct a decision tree to help analyze this problem. What should the doctors do?

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