(a) Jade Smith is a foreign exchange trader for a bank in New York. He has $1 million for a short-term money market investment and he faces the following quotes: (Assuming there are 360 days a year) Spot exchange rate (SFr/$) 1.2810 3-month forward rate (SFr/$) 1.2740 US dollar annual interest rate 4.8% Swiss franc annual interest rate 3.2% He wonders whether he should invest in US dollars for 90 days or make a covered interest arbitrage (CIA) investment in the swiss franc, and what is the profit/loss if he carries out this investment.  (b) Using the same values in the table above, Jade decides to seek the full 4.8% return available in the US dollars by not covering his forward dollar receipts – an uncovered interest arbitrage (UIA) transaction. What is the maximum expected spot exchange rate (SFr/$) at the end of the 90-day period at which Jade can avoid losing money?

International Financial Management
14th Edition
ISBN:9780357130698
Author:Madura
Publisher:Madura
Chapter7: International Arbitrage And Interest Rate Parity
Section: Chapter Questions
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(a) Jade Smith is a foreign exchange trader for a bank in New York. He has $1 million for a short-term money market investment and he faces the following quotes: (Assuming there are 360 days a year)

Spot exchange rate (SFr/$)

1.2810

3-month forward rate (SFr/$)

1.2740

US dollar annual interest rate

4.8%

Swiss franc annual interest rate

3.2%

He wonders whether he should invest in US dollars for 90 days or make a covered interest arbitrage (CIA) investment in the swiss franc, and what is the profit/loss if he carries out this investment. 

(b) Using the same values in the table above, Jade decides to seek the full 4.8% return available in the US dollars by not covering his forward dollar receipts – an uncovered interest arbitrage (UIA) transaction. What is the maximum expected spot exchange rate (SFr/$) at the end of the 90-day period at which Jade can avoid losing money? 

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