a) What do the financial Markets suggest for inflation in the US next year b) Estimate Today's one year forward Exchange rate between the dollar a euro. c) Calculate real interest rate in both countries d) Calculate Expected Spot Exchange rate in one year
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- Which one of the following statements is correct about the exchange rates? A country with high inflation may see its currency to appreciate according to the asset market approach. Current interest rates are is=1% and iç-3.5% and they will stay constant for many years. We would expect the Euro to appreciate against dollar according to the uncovered interest rate parity. When the central bank of Australia raises interest rate to a level that is more than all traders expected, i.e. an unexpected rise in interest rate, the Australian dollar will depreciate. O The European Central Bank announces to increase interest rate by 0.1%. The market consensus was 0.2% increase before the announcement. Upon the news, we would see euro to appreciate. Price of currency futures(or forwards) will be slightly lower than the spot exchange rate at maturity.1.A research institution has just published projected inflation rates for the United States andGermany for the next year. U.S. inflation is expected to be at 10% per year while German inflationis expected to be at 4% per year. If the current exchange rate is $0.95/€, what should be theexchange rate for the next years? 4. Suppose exchange rate for the British pound, Euro, and Australia dollar were $1.400, $1.225, and$0.875, respectively. At the time, the associated 90-day interest rates (annualized) were 12%, 6%,and 4%, while the U.S. 90-day interest rate (annualized) was 8%. What was the 90-day forwardrate on a Dollar Currency portfolio (DCP) (DCP 1 = £1 + €1 + AU$1) if interest parity were tohold?Question (1) suppose the british pound U-S dollar exchange rate is currently So=£.50.Further suppose that the inflation rate in Britain is predicted to be 10percent over the year ,coming year and(for the moment)the inflation rate in the United States is predicted to be zero.What do you think the exchange rate will be in a year
- Please use the data below to answer the following question. Expected annual inflation rate in the US 6% (th) Expected annual inflation rate in Euro Zone (If) Current Exchange Rate again If one year later, the spot rate of EUR turns out to be $1.135, then the EUR experienced O a loss 2% no change 1 EUR USD 1.10 in "real" purchasing power.What current rate environment is the US currently in by historical standards? (LOW, HIGH, AVERAGE) What are the expectations for rates in the US over the next year? How will this impact businesses borrowing money (debt)? What do you observe in day-to-day life regarding current inflation?A. Suppose the dollar interest rate and the euro interest rate are the same and equal 2 percent per year. Suppose the expected future $/€ exchange rate is $1.20 per 1 €. Suppose now Euro interest rate decreases to 1 percent per year. Determine how the new equilibrium $/€ exchange rate will change if the US interest rate remains constant. B. Indicate how the change in the Euro interest rate will affect the equilibrium $/€ exchange rate and the expected return on euro assets. Explain the changes on the graph.
- In a market with an unchanged current exchange rate where the interest parity condition holds, if investors now expect the exchange rate to be 6.25% lower a year from now, the return on foreign bonds with an interest rate of 5.75%would be ____enter your response here%. (Enter your response rounded to two decimal places.)2. Suppose today's exchange rate is $1.23/€. The three-month interest rates on dollars and euros are 6% and 3 % (both anual rates), respectively. The three-month forward rate is $1.25. A foreign exchange advisory service has predicted that the euro will appreciate to $1.27 within three months. Consider 1 million euros. a.. How would you use forward contracts to speculate in the above situation? b. How would you use money market instruments (borrowing and lending) to speculate? C. Which alternatives (forward contracts or money market instruments) would you prefer? Why? d. Can you make profits without risks? If so, explain and calculate how you do that.