An unexpected change in exchange rates impacts a firm's expected cash flows at three levels, depending on the time horizon used (Short Run, Medium Run, and Long Run). Describe the three operating exposure's phases of adjustment assuming that parity conditions do not hold among foreign exchange rates, national inflation rates, and national interest rates (disequilibrium).
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An unexpected change in exchange rates impacts a firm's expected cash flows at three levels, depending on the time horizon used (Short Run, Medium Run, and Long Run). Describe the three operating exposure's phases of adjustment assuming that parity conditions do not hold among foreign exchange rates, national inflation rates, and national interest rates (disequilibrium).
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- Suppose the current spot exchange rate for the Chinese yuan is USD 0.15 per CNY. If the domestic prices of traded goods rise 70% over the next 10 years in China and 20% over the same period in the United States, then, according to the relative purchasing power parity hypothesis, the spot exchange rate for the yuan in 10 years will be approximately:Suppose the current spot exchange rate for the Chinese yuan is USD 0.15 per CNY. If the domestic prices of traded goods rise 70% over the next 10 years in China and 30% over the same period in the United States, then, according to the relative purchasing power parity hypothesis, the spot exchange rate for the yuan in 10 years will be approximately: USD 0.35 per CNY USD 0.60 per CNY USD 0.11 per CNYIf the foreign price level increases by 4%, and the domestic price level increases by 17%, by what percent should the exchange rate of domestic currency per foreign currency increase, given relative PPP holds? Your answer should be an integer with a % sign assumed to follow (e.g., if you wish to say 48 percent, write 48). The percent increase in the exchange rate should be
- A company located in the US is selling a product in Japan for a price of exactly 7,175.5 Yen. The company claims that to produce the product in the US, they face a cost of $56.5 per unit. If the company is just breaking even at this price, then this implies the exchange rate must be $1 US buys Yen.Assume Australia to be home and Vietnam to be the foreign economy. If the real exchange rate q between Australia and Vietnam is 0.7 and the inflation rate differential (home inflation – foreign inflation) is -1%, given a 15% speed of convergence, what would be the expected rate of change in the nominal exchange rate (dollar per dong)?Relative inflation rates affect interest rates, exchange rates, the overall economic health of a country, and the operations and profitability of multinational companies. Consider the following statement: Countries with lower inflation rates will have lower interest rates. If companies borrow from countries with low interest rates, the potential gains from the interest savings will likely be (multiplied or offset) by the losses from currency appreciation.
- An analyst argues that exchange rate movements depend on interest rate differentials (that is, the International Fisher effect), country-specific economic policy uncertainty measures and country-specific GDP growth rates. With this in mind, the analyst estimates the following model: Expected rate of appreciation of yen against the dollar(%)= =0.5[idollar(%) – iyen(%)]+0.5[idollar(%) – iyen(%)]2+0.2[σUS(%) – σJAP(%)]+ +0.2[σUS(%) – σJAP(%)]2+0.1[GDPJAP(%) – GDPUS(%)]. In this model, idollar(%) is the one-year interest rate in the US, iyen(%) is the one-year interest rate in Japan, σUS(%) refers to economic policy uncertainty in the US, σJAP(%) refers to economic policy uncertainty in Japan, GDPUS(%) refers to annual GDP growth in the US and GDPJAP(%) refers to annual GDP growth in Japan. Assume idollar=6%, iyen=4%, σUS=5%, σJAP=1%, GDPUS=2% and GDPJAP=1%. Calculate the expected rate of appreciation of the yen against the dollarIf the nominal exchange rate e is foreign currency per dollar, the domestic price is P, and the foreign price is P*, then the real exchange rate is defined as e(P/P*). Select one: True FalseUnder a fixed exchange rate regime, the value of the currency is pegged to a specific currency. This provides stability and predictability for international businesses when engaging in cross-border transactions and making long-term investment decisions. Companies can better plan and forecast their international operations without worrying about sudden exchange rate fluctuations. Businesses with significant cross-border trade and investment activities can benefit from reduced currency risk as their transactions are shielded from short-term volatility in exchange rates. This can be particularly advantageous when dealing with countries with historically unstable currencies. Fixed exchange rates can act as a constraint on monetary policies, preventing excessive money supply growth that may lead to inflation. This can create a more stable economic environment for businesses to operate in. In a floating exchange rate system, currency values are determined by market forces, primarily supply…
- Evaluate the usefulness of relative power purchasing parity (PPP) in predicting movements in foreign exchange rates on: a. Short-term basis (for example, three months). b. Long-term basis (for example, six years).A carry trade is a trading strategy that involves borrowing low-interest currencies and buying high-interest currencies, with results that can be profitable. During much of the 2000s, Japanese yen interest rates were close to zero while Australia’s interest rates were positive. Investors pursued a carry trade strategy, investing billions in Australian dollars and driving that currency’s value up against the yen. According to the interest parity condition, such a strategy should not be systematically profitable: On average, shouldn’t the interest advantage of Australian dollars be wiped out by relative appreciation of the yen? Is the prevalence of the carry trade evidence that interest parity is wrong? What is the risk of investing in such a strategy? Incorporate the Japanese Yen/Australian Dollar exchange rate history in your discussion.As per the Uncovered interest parity (UIP) which of the following is true? If the interest rates in India, USA, and Japan are 8%, 5%, and 3 % , then Japanese Yen is likely to depreciate against INR. If the interest rates in India, USA, and Japan are 8%, 5%, and 3 %, then USD is likely to appreciate against INR, but depreciate against Japanese Yen INR is expected to depreciate by 3% against USD approximately. Both b and c