Assume an initial starting Ft of 200 units, a trend (Tt ) of 8 units, an alpha of 0.30, and a delta of 0.40. If actual demand turned out to be 288, calculate the forecast including trend for the next period. A. 308 B. 250 C. 208 D. 245
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Assume an initial starting Ft of 200 units, a trend (Tt ) of 8 units, an alpha of 0.30, and a delta of 0.40. If actual demand turned out to be 288, calculate the
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- Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. Is Ben Gibson acting legally? Is he acting ethically? Why or why not?Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?Forecast deliveries for one of Cadbury Schweppes' subsidiaries for period 10 using the exponential smoothing with trend adjustment method. Let the beginning trend value be 4 and the initial prediction be 200, and set alpha and beta to 0.4 and 0.2, respectively. Period 01 = Actual Demand 200 Period 02 = Actual Demand 212 Period 03 = Actual Demand 214 Period 04 = Actual Demand 222 Period 05 = Actual Demand 236 Period 06 = Actual Demand 221 Period 07 = Actual Demand 240 Period 08 = Actual Demand 244 Period 09 = Actual Demand 250 Period 10 = Actual Demand 266
- Matrix uses simple exponential smoothing with S.F = 0.6 to forecast demand. The forecast for the week of Nov 1 was 350 units, whereas the actual demand turned out to be 400 units. Forecast the demand for the week of Nov 8 to week Nov 22 Week Actual Demand Forecast Nov 01 350 400 Nov 08 460 430 Nov 15 501 448 Nov 22 495 479.8 Element of Competency Determine the quantity of raw materials and other products order.PROBLEM 2:The manager of a large manufacturer of industrial pumps prepare forecasts for a six- month period. Month Demand Forecast 1 492 488 2 470 484 3 485 480 4 493 490 5 498 497 6 492 493 Required: Compute for the MAD, MSE, and MAPE.March demand was pridicted at 590 units of gear cycles of trevaa ltd. But the actual demand was 400 units only so fourth the company now want to forecast the april demand using exponential smoothing model with constant alpha of 0.72., calculate the same
- A manager would like to know the total cost of a chase strategy that matches the forecast belowusing a steady regular production rate of 200 units a month, a maximum of 20 units per month ofovertime, and subcontracting as needed to make up any shortages. The unit costs are:Regular production = $35Overtime = $70Subcontracting = $80Month 1 2 3 4 5 6Forecast 230 200 240 240 250 240On August, a light business bought $3600 worth of lamps. At the beginning of September, the store had $1400 in lights on hand, and by the end of September, it projected to have $1600 in lamps on hand to meet some of the forecasted October sales. And what's the August planned cost of goods sold?Demand for stereo headphones and music players for joggers has caused Nina Industries to grow almost 50 percent over the past year. The number of joggers continues to expand, so Nina expects demand for headsets to also expand, because, as yet, no safety laws have been passed to prevent joggers from wearing them. Demand for the players for this year was as follows: MONTH DEMAND (UNITS) January 4,150 February 4,250 March 3,950 April 4,350 May 4,950 June 4,650 July 5,250 August 4,850 September 5,350 October 5,650 November 6,250 December 5,950 a. Using linear regression analysis, what would you estimate demand to be for each month next year? Using a spreadsheet, follow the general format in Exhibit 3.8. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) b. To be reasonably confident of meeting demand, Nina decides to use 3 standard errors of estimate for safety. How many additional units should be held to meet this…
- Use exponential smoothing with trend adjustment to forecast demand for period 11. Let α = 0.5, β= 0.3, and let the initial trend value be 12 and the initial forecast be 200. Period Actual Demand 1 200 2 212 3 214 4 222 5 236 6 221 7 240 8 244 9 250 10 266Assume the weight is 0.6 for the most recent period; 0.2 for the second most recent; 0.1 for the third most recent; and 0.1 for the fourth most recent period. Using the four-period weighted moving average technique to predict the demand in February 2019. Find the X and Y values. Dt Ft Period Demand Four-period weighted Moving Average 2014 September 9400 October 10300 November 11200 December 4998 2015 January 9800 7209 February 9555 X March 9800 Y Group of answer choices X = 9899.8; Y = 9778.2 X = 9312.8; Y = 9555.2 X = 9029.6; Y = 9312.8 X = 9555.0; Y = 9313.7 X = 9872.4; Y = 9029.4Demand for portable music players for joggers has caused Nancy Industries (Nancy) to grow almost 50 percent over the past year. The number of joggers continues to expand, so Nancy expects demand for music player to also expand, because, as yet, no safety laws have been passed to prevent joggers from wearing them. Demands for the players for last year was as follows : Month Demand (units) Jan 4200 Feb 4300 Mar 4000 Apr 4400 May 5000 Jun 4700 Jul 5300 Aug 4900 Sep 5400 Oct 5700 Nov 6300 Dec 6000 Question : From the choice of simple moving average, weighted moving average, exponential smoothing, and linear regression analysis, which forecasting technique would you consider the most accurate to Nancy Industries? Why?