c. Prepare a naive forecast for periods 2 through 11 using the given sales data. Compute each of the following; (1) MSE, (2) MAD, (3) tracking signal at month 10, and (4) 2s control limits. (Negative values should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) Answer is complete but not entirely correct. MSE MAD Tracking signal 72,197.22X 105.50 -1.25

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.6: Moving Averages Models
Problem 22P: The file P13_22.xlsx contains total monthly U.S. retail sales data. While holding out the final six...
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Two independent methods of forecasting based on judgment and experience have been prepared each month for the past 10 months. The forecasts and actual sales are as follows:
1
Month
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
2
Forecast
Forecast
Sales
835
845
850
820
785
840
815
840
MAPE F1
MAPE F2
785
800
Forecast 1
835
830
840
790
MSE
815
785
a. Compute the MSE and MAD for each forecast. (Round
your answers to 2 decimal places.)
770
835
805
785
869.44✔
1,250.67
MSE
MAD
Tracking signal
Forecast 2
765
830
Answer is complete and correct.
2.7519✔ %
3.4380 %
MAD
815
830
22.50
800
806
28.40
775
810
815
805
b. Compute MAPE for each forecast. (Round your
intermediate calculations to 5 decimal places and final
answers to 4 decimal places.)
Answer is complete and correct.
c. Prepare a naive forecast for periods 2 through 11 using
the given sales data. Compute each of the following; (1)
MSE, (2) MAD, (3) tracking signal at month 10, and (4) 2s
control limits. (Negative values should be indicated by a
minus sign. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.)
> Answer is complete but not entirely correct.
72,197.22 X
105.50 X
-1.25✔
Transcribed Image Text:1 Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2 Forecast Forecast Sales 835 845 850 820 785 840 815 840 MAPE F1 MAPE F2 785 800 Forecast 1 835 830 840 790 MSE 815 785 a. Compute the MSE and MAD for each forecast. (Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) 770 835 805 785 869.44✔ 1,250.67 MSE MAD Tracking signal Forecast 2 765 830 Answer is complete and correct. 2.7519✔ % 3.4380 % MAD 815 830 22.50 800 806 28.40 775 810 815 805 b. Compute MAPE for each forecast. (Round your intermediate calculations to 5 decimal places and final answers to 4 decimal places.) Answer is complete and correct. c. Prepare a naive forecast for periods 2 through 11 using the given sales data. Compute each of the following; (1) MSE, (2) MAD, (3) tracking signal at month 10, and (4) 2s control limits. (Negative values should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) > Answer is complete but not entirely correct. 72,197.22 X 105.50 X -1.25✔
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9781337406659
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Cengage,