Consider company ABC. Today it is the 1st of January 2022. The expected earnings of ABC (in million £) for the next few years (as per the 1st of January) are forecast to be:    Year 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Expected Earnings 1 1.5 0.9 1.2 1.3   From year 2027 and onwards the earnings of ABC are expected to grow with a growth rate of 5%. The required rate of return of ABC is 12%. The dividend policy of ABC is currently such that they pay out 80% of their earnings as dividends, i.e. their earnings retention ratio b is constant and equals 0.2. The forecast of the growth rate is based on an earnings retention ratio of 0.2. Suppose that you forecast Return on new Investment (RI) to be 10%. What is the optimal dividend policy? Explain.

Corporate Fin Focused Approach
5th Edition
ISBN:9781285660516
Author:EHRHARDT
Publisher:EHRHARDT
Chapter7: Valuation Of Stocks And Corporations
Section7.6: Valuing Nonconstant Growth Stocks
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Consider company ABC. Today it is the 1st of January 2022. The expected earnings of ABC (in million £) for the next few years (as per the 1st of January) are forecast to be: 

 

Year

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

Expected Earnings

1

1.5

0.9

1.2

1.3

 

From year 2027 and onwards the earnings of ABC are expected to grow with a growth rate of 5%. The required rate of return of ABC is 12%. The dividend policy of ABC is currently such that they pay out 80% of their earnings as dividends, i.e. their earnings retention ratio b is constant and equals 0.2. The forecast of the growth rate is based on an earnings retention ratio of 0.2.

  1. Suppose that you forecast Return on new Investment (RI) to be 10%. What is the optimal dividend policy? Explain.
  2.  

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