Consider the following time series data Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Value 90 89 86 91 90 91 88 86 91 93 90 88   a) Construct a time series plot in Excel. Label the axes and graph.  b) Develop a five month moving average forecast. Compute MSE and a forecast for month 13.  c) Develop a smoothing model forecast with α = 0.35. Compute MSE and forecast for month 13  d) Which model is the better predictor? Why?

College Algebra
1st Edition
ISBN:9781938168383
Author:Jay Abramson
Publisher:Jay Abramson
Chapter4: Linear Functions
Section4.3: Fitting Linear Models To Data
Problem 24SE: Table 6 shows the year and the number ofpeople unemployed in a particular city for several years....
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Consider the following time series data

Month

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

Value

90

89

86

91

90

91

88

86

91

93

90

88

 

a) Construct a time series plot in Excel. Label the axes and graph. 

b) Develop a five month moving average forecast. Compute MSE and a forecast for month 13. 

c) Develop a smoothing model forecast with α = 0.35. Compute MSE and forecast for month 13 

d) Which model is the better predictor? Why?

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