Consider the following time series data Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Value 90 89 86 91 90 91 88 86 91 93 90 88 a) Construct a time series plot in Excel. Label the axes and graph. b) Develop a five month moving average forecast. Compute MSE and a forecast for month 13. c) Develop a smoothing model forecast with α = 0.35. Compute MSE and forecast for month 13 d) Which model is the better predictor? Why?
Consider the following time series data Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Value 90 89 86 91 90 91 88 86 91 93 90 88 a) Construct a time series plot in Excel. Label the axes and graph. b) Develop a five month moving average forecast. Compute MSE and a forecast for month 13. c) Develop a smoothing model forecast with α = 0.35. Compute MSE and forecast for month 13 d) Which model is the better predictor? Why?
Chapter4: Linear Functions
Section4.3: Fitting Linear Models To Data
Problem 24SE: Table 6 shows the year and the number ofpeople unemployed in a particular city for several years....
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Question
Consider the following time series data
Month |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
Value |
90 |
89 |
86 |
91 |
90 |
91 |
88 |
86 |
91 |
93 |
90 |
88 |
a) Construct a time series plot in Excel. Label the axes and graph.
b) Develop a five month moving average forecast. Compute MSE and a forecast for month 13.
c) Develop a smoothing model forecast with α = 0.35. Compute MSE and forecast for month 13
d) Which model is the better predictor? Why?
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