David Byrne Co. owns a warehouse worth $250,000. Lou Reed is the risk manager. David Byrne faces the risk of fire which would completely destroy their warehouse. The probability of a fire is known to be 6%. David Byrne is considering the following risk management options to address the risk of fire to their warehouse: [1] Retention only - no Safety Program [2] [3] Full Insurance - Premium = $16,000 Retention + Safety Program [4] Full Insurance + Safety Program - Premium = $11,000

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Chapter15: Decision Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
Problem 20P: Alexander Industries is considering purchasing an insurance policy for its new office building in...
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David Byrne Co. owns a warehouse worth $250,000. Lou Reed is the risk
manager. David Byrne faces the risk of fire which would completely destroy
their warehouse. The probability of a fire is known to be 6%.
David Byrne is considering the following risk management options to
address the risk of fire to their warehouse:
[1] Retention only - no Safety Program
[2]
Full Insurance - Premium = $16,000
Retention + Safety Program
[3]
[4]
Full Insurance + Safety Program - Premium = $11,000
Transcribed Image Text:David Byrne Co. owns a warehouse worth $250,000. Lou Reed is the risk manager. David Byrne faces the risk of fire which would completely destroy their warehouse. The probability of a fire is known to be 6%. David Byrne is considering the following risk management options to address the risk of fire to their warehouse: [1] Retention only - no Safety Program [2] Full Insurance - Premium = $16,000 Retention + Safety Program [3] [4] Full Insurance + Safety Program - Premium = $11,000
The cost of the Safety Program is $4,000. It has the impact of lowering the probability of
a fire from 6% to 4%. However, if a fire does occur it is still a total loss.
a.
Construct the loss matrix for David Byrne'. Make sure you show loss in the top
row and out-of-pocket cost in the bottom row in each cell of the loss matrix.
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b.
Assume Reed's worry value for retention without safety (WVR) is $1,200 and his
worry value for retention with safety (WVRs) is $700. Calculate the total
expected cost of each of the four risk management options.
C.
If Reed's decision rule is to pick the option that minimizes total expected cost,
what risk management option does he choose?
Transcribed Image Text:The cost of the Safety Program is $4,000. It has the impact of lowering the probability of a fire from 6% to 4%. However, if a fire does occur it is still a total loss. a. Construct the loss matrix for David Byrne'. Make sure you show loss in the top row and out-of-pocket cost in the bottom row in each cell of the loss matrix. wwwwwwww b. Assume Reed's worry value for retention without safety (WVR) is $1,200 and his worry value for retention with safety (WVRs) is $700. Calculate the total expected cost of each of the four risk management options. C. If Reed's decision rule is to pick the option that minimizes total expected cost, what risk management option does he choose?
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