Following is the payoff table for the Pittsburgh Development Corporation (PDC) Condominium Project. Amounts are in millions of dollars.     State of Nature Decision Alternative Strong Demand S1 Weak Demand S2 Small complex, d1 9 8 Medium complex, d2 13 3 Large complex, d3 19 -9   Suppose PDC is optimistic about the potential for the luxury high-rise condominium complex and that this optimism leads to an initial subjective probability assessment of 0.8 that demand will be strong (S1) and a corresponding probability of 0.2 that demand will be weak (S2). Assume the decision alternative to build the large condominium complex was found to be optimal using the expected value approach. Also, a sensitivity analysis was conducted for the payoffs associated with this decision alternative. It was found that the large complex remained optimal as long as the payoff for the strong demand was greater than or equal to $16 million and as long as the payoff for the weak demand was greater than or equal to -$21 million.   Consider the medium complex decision. How much could the payoff under strong demand increase and still keep decision alternative d3 the optimal solution? If required, round your answer to two decimal places. The payoff for the medium complex under strong demand remains less than or equal to $_______________  (fill in the blank) million, the large complex remains the best decision. Consider the small complex decision. How much could the payoff under strong demand increase and still keep decision alternative d3 the optimal solution? If required, round your answer to two decimal places.  The payoff for the small complex under the strong demand remains less than or equal to $_____________(fill in the blank) million, the large complex remains the best decision.

Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897, 0079039898, 2018
18th Edition
ISBN:9780079039897
Author:Carter
Publisher:Carter
Chapter10: Statistics
Section10.6: Summarizing Categorical Data
Problem 23PPS
icon
Related questions
Topic Video
Question

Following is the payoff table for the Pittsburgh Development Corporation (PDC) Condominium Project. Amounts are in millions of dollars.

 

  State of Nature
Decision Alternative Strong Demand S1 Weak Demand S2
Small complex, d1 9 8
Medium complex, d2 13 3
Large complex, d3 19 -9

 

Suppose PDC is optimistic about the potential for the luxury high-rise condominium complex and that this optimism leads to an initial subjective probability assessment of 0.8 that demand will be strong (S1) and a corresponding probability of 0.2 that demand will be weak (S2). Assume the decision alternative to build the large condominium complex was found to be optimal using the expected value approach. Also, a sensitivity analysis was conducted for the payoffs associated with this decision alternative. It was found that the large complex remained optimal as long as the payoff for the strong demand was greater than or equal to $16 million and as long as the payoff for the weak demand was greater than or equal to -$21 million.

 

  1. Consider the medium complex decision. How much could the payoff under strong demand increase and still keep decision alternative d3 the optimal solution? If required, round your answer to two decimal places.

    The payoff for the medium complex under strong demand remains less than or equal to $_______________  (fill in the blank) million, the large complex remains the best decision.

  2. Consider the small complex decision. How much could the payoff under strong demand increase and still keep decision alternative d3 the optimal solution? If required, round your answer to two decimal places.  The payoff for the small complex under the strong demand remains less than or equal to $_____________(fill in the blank) million, the large complex remains the best decision. 
Expert Solution
trending now

Trending now

This is a popular solution!

steps

Step by step

Solved in 4 steps

Blurred answer
Knowledge Booster
Discrete Probability Distributions
Learn more about
Need a deep-dive on the concept behind this application? Look no further. Learn more about this topic, statistics and related others by exploring similar questions and additional content below.
Recommended textbooks for you
Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897…
Glencoe Algebra 1, Student Edition, 9780079039897…
Algebra
ISBN:
9780079039897
Author:
Carter
Publisher:
McGraw Hill