Given the following data for demand at the XYZ Company, calculate the monthly forecast for 2003 using a 3-month moving average. Calculate the Forecast, Error, MAD (mean absolute percentage error), Bias and the TS (tracking signal) .    Period Demand Forecast Error MAD Bias TS 2-Oct 2012 800           2-Nov 2012 1000           2-Dec 2012 950           2-Jan 2013 1100           2-Feb 2013 930           2-Mar 2013 1020           2-Apr 2013 870

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter13: Regression And Forecasting Models
Section13.6: Moving Averages Models
Problem 22P: The file P13_22.xlsx contains total monthly U.S. retail sales data. While holding out the final six...
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Given the following data for demand at the XYZ Company, calculate the monthly forecast for 2003 using a 3-month moving average. Calculate the Forecast, Error, MAD (mean absolute percentage error), Bias and the TS (tracking signal) .

  

Period

Demand

Forecast

Error

MAD

Bias

TS

2-Oct 2012

800

 

 

 

 

 

2-Nov 2012

1000

 

 

 

 

 

2-Dec 2012

950

 

 

 

 

 

2-Jan 2013

1100

         

2-Feb 2013

930

         

2-Mar 2013

1020

         

2-Apr 2013

870

         
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