Please do not give solution in image format thanku Tech Football Strategy: Tech is playing State in the last conference game of the season. Tech is trailing State 21 to 14, with 7 seconds left in the game, when Tech scores a touchdown. Still trailing 21 to 20, Tech can either go for 2 points and win or go for 1 point to send the game into overtime. The conference championship will be determined by the outcome of this game. If Tech wins, it will go to the Sugar Bowl, with a payoff of $7.2 million; if it loses, it will go to the Gator Bowl, with a payoff of $1.7 million.   If Tech goes for 2 points, there is a 33% chance it will be successful and win. If it goes for 1 point, there is a 0.98 probability of success and a tie and a 0.02 probability of failure. If the teams tie, they will play overtime, during which Tech believes it has only a 20% chance of winning because of fatigue.   Use decision tree analysis to determine whether Tech should go for 1 or 2 points. Joanna came up with the following incomplete decision tree: TechFootball.pdf     Sub-question 1: What should be following the “Success” branch of node 3? ____ ABCD____ A) a probability node B) a decision node C) $7,200,000 D) $1,700,000

Practical Management Science
6th Edition
ISBN:9781337406659
Author:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Publisher:WINSTON, Wayne L.
Chapter9: Decision Making Under Uncertainty
Section: Chapter Questions
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Tech Football Strategy: Tech is playing State in the last conference game of the season. Tech is trailing State 21 to 14, with 7 seconds left in the game, when Tech scores a touchdown. Still trailing 21 to 20, Tech can either go for 2 points and win or go for 1 point to send the game into overtime. The conference championship will be determined by the outcome of this game. If Tech wins, it will go to the Sugar Bowl, with a payoff of $7.2 million; if it loses, it will go to the Gator Bowl, with a payoff of $1.7 million.

 

If Tech goes for 2 points, there is a 33% chance it will be successful and win. If it goes for 1 point, there is a 0.98 probability of success and a tie and a 0.02 probability of failure. If the teams tie, they will play overtime, during which Tech believes it has only a 20% chance of winning because of fatigue.

 

Use decision tree analysis to determine whether Tech should go for 1 or 2 points. Joanna came up with the following incomplete decision tree: TechFootball.pdf

 

 

Sub-question 1: What should be following the “Success” branch of node 3? ____ ABCD____

A) a probability node

B) a decision node

C) $7,200,000

D) $1,700,000

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