Predict the forecast for week 35 using an exponential smoothing with a smoothing constant of 0.20.
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- Scenario 3 Ben Gibson, the purchasing manager at Coastal Products, was reviewing purchasing expenditures for packaging materials with Jeff Joyner. Ben was particularly disturbed about the amount spent on corrugated boxes purchased from Southeastern Corrugated. Ben said, I dont like the salesman from that company. He comes around here acting like he owns the place. He loves to tell us about his fancy car, house, and vacations. It seems to me he must be making too much money off of us! Jeff responded that he heard Southeastern Corrugated was going to ask for a price increase to cover the rising costs of raw material paper stock. Jeff further stated that Southeastern would probably ask for more than what was justified simply from rising paper stock costs. After the meeting, Ben decided he had heard enough. After all, he prided himself on being a results-oriented manager. There was no way he was going to allow that salesman to keep taking advantage of Coastal Products. Ben called Jeff and told him it was time to rebid the corrugated contract before Southeastern came in with a price increase request. Who did Jeff know that might be interested in the business? Jeff replied he had several companies in mind to include in the bidding process. These companies would surely come in at a lower price, partly because they used lower-grade boxes that would probably work well enough in Coastal Products process. Jeff also explained that these suppliers were not serious contenders for the business. Their purpose was to create competition with the bids. Ben told Jeff to make sure that Southeastern was well aware that these new suppliers were bidding on the contract. He also said to make sure the suppliers knew that price was going to be the determining factor in this quote, because he considered corrugated boxes to be a standard industry item. As the Marketing Manager for Southeastern Corrugated, what would you do upon receiving the request for quotation from Coastal Products?Michael’s Offi ce Supply (MOS) sells offi ce furniture,equipment, and supplies. Th is week the company has received 50customer orders. Each order has an average of fi ve line items. Th eaverage dollar amount of each order is $1200. MOS was able toship 47 of the 50 orders on schedule.(a) Using the percentage of orders shipped on time, calculatethe customer service level.(b) If Michael’s calculates customer service level by using thepercentage of line items shipped on schedule, how manyline items must be shipped to achieve the same customerservice level calculated in part (a)?(c) If Michael’s calculates customer service level by thepercentage of dollar volume shipped, how many dollarsof product must be shipped to achieve the same customerservice level calculated in part (a)?(d) What factors determine the customer service levelmeasure that MOS should use?ABC analysis on the following set of products Item Annual Demand Unit CostA 211 800 R9B 390 100 R90C 003 450 R6D 100 400 R100E 707 85 R2,000F 660 250 R320G 473 500 R75H 921 100 R75 Soft goods department sells 175 units per month of a certain large bath towel. The unit cost of a towel to the manufacturer is R2.50 and the cost of placing an order has been estimated to be R12.00. There is an inventory carrying charge of 27% of the unit cost per year. What is the optimal order quantity, the order frequency, and the annual holding and setup cost. If the ordering cost can be cut to R4.00, what will be the new economicorder quantity, the order frequency, and annual holding and setup costs.
- Problem 20-10 (Algo) You are a newsvendor selling San Pedro Times every morning. Before you get to work, you go to the printer and buy the day's paper for $0.45 a copy. You sell a copy of San Pedro Times for $1.40. Daily demand is distributed normally with mean = 340 and standard deviation = 68. At the end of each morning, any leftover copies are worthless and they go to a recycle bin. a. How many copies of San Pedro Times should you buy each morning? (Use Excel's NORMSINV() function to find the correct critical value for the given a-level. Round your z-value to 2 decimal places and final answer to to 2 decimal places.) 8 Answer is complete but not entirely correct. Optimal order quantity 0.05 b. Based on a, what is the probability that you will run out of stock? (Round your answer to the nearest whole number.) * Answer is complete but not entirely correct. Probability 3 X %Problem 20-10 (Algo) You are a newsvendor selling San Pedro Times every morning. Before you get to work, you go to the printer and buy the day’s paper for $0.50 a copy. You sell a copy of San Pedro Times for $1.25. Daily demand is distributed normally with mean = 335 and standard deviation = 67. At the end of each morning, any leftover copies are worthless and they go to a recycle bin. a. How many copies of San Pedro Times should you buy each morning? (Use Excel's NORMSINV() function to find the correct critical value for the given α-level. Round your z-value to 2 decimal places and final answer to to 2 decimal places.) b. Based on a, what is the probability that you will run out of stock? (Round your answer to the nearest whole number.)Demand for stereo headphones and music players for joggers has caused Nina Industries to grow almost 50 percent over the past year. The number of joggers continues to expand, so Nina expects demand for headsets to also expand, because, as yet, no safety laws have been passed to prevent joggers from wearing them. Demand for the players for this year was as follows: MONTH DEMAND (UNITS) January 4,150 February 4,250 March 3,950 April 4,350 May 4,950 June 4,650 July 5,250 August 4,850 September 5,350 October 5,650 November 6,250 December 5,950 a. Using linear regression analysis, what would you estimate demand to be for each month next year? Using a spreadsheet, follow the general format in Exhibit 3.8. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) b. To be reasonably confident of meeting demand, Nina decides to use 3 standard errors of estimate for safety. How many additional units should be held to meet this…
- Demand for stereo headphones and MP3 players for joggers has caused Nina Industries to grow almost 50 percent over the past year. The number of joggers continues to expand, so Nina expects demand for headsets to also expand, because, as yet, no safety laws have been passed to prevent joggers from wearing them. Demand for the players for last year was as follows: MONTH DEMAND (UNITS) January 4,120 February 4,220 March 3,920 April 4,320 May 4,920 June 4,620 July 5,220 August 4,820 September 5,320 October 5,620 November 6,220 December 5,920 a. Using linear regression analysis, what would you estimate demand to be for each month next year? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answers to 2 decimal places.) b. To be reasonably confident of meeting demand, Nina decides to use 3 standard errors of estimate for safety. How many additional units should be held to meet this level of confidence? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round…Problem 20-10 (Algo) You are a newsvendor selling San Pedro Times every morning. Before you get to work, you go to the printer and buy the day's paper for $0.30 a copy. You sell a copy of San Pedro Times for $1.10. Daily demand is distributed normally with mean = 265 and standard deviation = 53. At the end of each morning, any leftover copies are worthless and they go to a recycle bin. a. How many copies of San Pedro Times should you buy each morning? (Use Excel's NORMSINV() function to find the correct critical value for the given a-level. Round your z-value to 2 decimal places and final answer to to 2 decimal places.) Optimal order quantity b. Based on a, what is the probability that you will run out of stock? (Round your answer to the nearest whole number.) ProbabilityTable 1. Demand of Hairdryer from January to July [Jadual 1. Permintaan Pengering Rambut dari Januari 2021 hingga Julai 2021] Month Demand January February 2800 2870 March 2968 April Мay 3000 3100 Jun 3150 July 3400 a) Calculate forecast future demand for May, June, July and August by using 3 months simple moving average.[hitung ramalan permintaan masa depan untuk bulan Mei, Jun, Julai dan Ogos dengan menggunakan purata bergerak sederhana 3 bulan.] *
- Periodic Inventory Using FIFO, LIFO, and Weighted Average Cost Methods The units of an item available for sale during the year were as follows: 12 units at $47 Jan. 11 Aug. 13 20 units at $48 Nov. 30 $564 960 735 Avaliable for sale $2,259 There are 20 units of the item in the physical inventory at December 31. The periodic inventory system is used. Determine the inventory cost using the (a) first-in, first-out (FIFO) method; (b) last-sout (LIFO) method; and (c) weighted average cost method (round per-unit cost to two decimal places and your final answer to the nearest whole dollar). a First-in, first-out (FIFO) b. Last-in, first-out (LIFO) c. Weighted average cost Inventory Purchase Purchase 15 units at $49 47 units 1,284 XOver the past 12 months, Super Toy Mart has experienced a demand variance of 10,250 units and has produced an order variance of 12,050 units. Part 2 a) The bullwhip measure for Super Toy Mart is ______ (round your response to two decimal places). Part 3 b) If Super Toy Mart had made a perfect forecast of demand over the past 12 months and had decided to order 1/12 of that annual demand each month, the bullwhip measure would have been ______ (round your response to the nearest whole number.)Consider the supply : Last year, the retailer’s weekly variance of demand was 200 units.The variance of orders was 500, 600, 750, and 1,350 units for theretailer, wholesaler, distributor, and manufacturer, respectively.(Note that the variance of orders equals the variance of demandfor that firm’s supplier.)a) Calculate the bullwhip measure for the retailer.b) Calculate the bullwhip measure for the wholesaler.c) Calculate the bullwhip measure for the distributor.d) Calculate the bullwhip measure for the manufacturer. e) Which firm appears to be contributing the most to the bull-whip effect in this supply chain?
