The following is a payoff table giving profits for various situations. Probability Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 Alternative 4 State 1 0.4 45 16 23 44 State 2 0.35 37 59 65 33 State 3 0.25 83 72 91 55 a) Using the expected monetary value (EMV), which alternative should be chosen? b) Set up the opportunity loss table and compute the minimum expected opportunity loss (EOL) c) What is the maximum value that you would be willing to pay to decide under certainty?

Essentials of Business Analytics (MindTap Course List)
2nd Edition
ISBN:9781305627734
Author:Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson
Publisher:Jeffrey D. Camm, James J. Cochran, Michael J. Fry, Jeffrey W. Ohlmann, David R. Anderson
Chapter15: Decision Analysis
Section: Chapter Questions
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4. The following is a payoff table giving profits for various situations.
Probability
Alternative 1
Alternative 2
Alternative 3
Alternative 4
State 1
0.4
45
16
23
44
State 2
0.35
37
59
65
33
State 3
0.25
83
72
91
55
a) Using the expected monetary value (EMV), which alternative should be chosen?
b) Set up the opportunity loss table and compute the minimum expected opportunity loss (EOL).
c) What is the maximum value that you would be willing to pay to decide under certainty?
Transcribed Image Text:4. The following is a payoff table giving profits for various situations. Probability Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3 Alternative 4 State 1 0.4 45 16 23 44 State 2 0.35 37 59 65 33 State 3 0.25 83 72 91 55 a) Using the expected monetary value (EMV), which alternative should be chosen? b) Set up the opportunity loss table and compute the minimum expected opportunity loss (EOL). c) What is the maximum value that you would be willing to pay to decide under certainty?
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