Very Favorable Market Unfavorable Average Market $180,000 Alternatives Market $250,000 Build new plant - $200,000 - S220,000 Subcontract S270,000 $185,000 Overtime $100,000 $50,000 so - $12,000 s0 Do Nothing s0 a) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximax The appropriate decision will be The value of the return under this decision is s b) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Maximin The appropriate decision will be The value of the retum under this decision is c) Using the decision making under uncertainty with the criterion of Equally Likely The appropriate decision will be The value of the return under this decision is SO (enter your answer as a whole number).
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- Refer to the payoff table below of profits in ($000). Which decision alternative results from using the Conservative (Pessimestic) Decision Rule? PAYOFF TABLE High Demand Small Medium Large 35 300 550 -10 Moderate Demand 35 150 75 -10 Low Demand Do Nothing O A. Large O B. Do nothing OC. Medium O D. Small O E. Cannot be determined since relative frequencies are missing. 35 50 -45 -10A. A company wants to produce a souvenir with a marketing life of six months. Uncertainty surrounds the likely sales volume as well as the fixed costs of the venture as shown below: Sales units Probability Contrn. /unit Probability Fixed cost K7 K5 100 000 0.3 80 000 0.6 60 000 0.1 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 Determine the expected value of the contribution K400 000 K450 000 K500 000 Probability 0.2 0.5 0.3 1.0Assume that the payoff table provides cost rather than profit payoffs. What isthe recommended decision using:i. the optimistic approachii. the conservative approachiii. the minimax regret approachiv. the Laplace method
- O True O False %23 Previous 08 4. %2$ F4 000 000 5. F5 making environment is Decision Making under Risk. 9. MacBook Air & F7 DD 8. F8 Next If a decision maker can assign probabilities of occurrences to the states of nature then the decision-6) Nicole has decided to go to school which costs her a total of P19,500 and give upi on a job that paid her P24,900 for the year. But instead, she can hope to earn P29,900 after she graduates. Nicole's opportunity cost amount to?a. P19,500 b. P24,900c. P29,900d. P5,000 7. Villanueva Enterprises reported the ff. information. What is the cost of goods manufactured in February?I. Jan. 2017 -job accumulated cost of P3,000ii. Feb. 2017 -the following costs were added to production: Job 1-P10,000 Job 2-P8,000Job 3-P7,000 III. Feb. 2017 Job 1 was completed and sold for P18,000 Job 2 was completed but not sold Job 3 remains in production b. P8,000c. P10,000 d. P13,000e. P21,000 8. Julie borrowed a certain amount from Diane on June 2016. Two years later, Julle i again borrowed P5,000. Julie decided to pay P1,000 on June 2019 and dischargei her balance by paying P7,500 on June 2021. What was the amount borrowed oni June 2016 if the interest rate is 8% compounded annually?a. P1,389.50 b.…Risk-neutral probabilities are always Select one: O equal to atomic prices O negative O less than physical probabilities O equal to physical probabilities O equal to forward atomic prices
- A company wants to produce a souvenir with a marketing life of sixmonths. Uncertainty surrounds the likely sales volume as well as thefixed costs of the venture as shown below:Sales units Probability Contrn. /unit Probability Fixed cost Probability100 000 0.3 K 7 0.5 K400 000 0.2 Page 5 of 80 000 0.6 K 5 0.5 K450 000 0.560 000 0.1 K500 000 0.31.0 1.0 1.0 Determine the expected value of the contributionSelect the least accurate statement. A) The expected monetary value (EMV) criterion represents the long-run average of uncertain outcomes, so it should only be used for recurring decisions. b) For each possible decision and each possible outcome, the payoff table lists the associated monetary value. c)The certainty equivalent is the certain dollar amount a risk-averse decision maker would accept in order to avoid a gamble altogether. D) For a risk-averse decision maker, the certainty equivalent is less than the expected monetary value (EMV).A situation in which a decision maker must choose between strategies that have more than one possible outcome when the probability of each outcome is unknown is referred to as: O certainty diversification risk O uncertainty MacBook Air 000 000 DD F7 F5 6日 5. 8.
- Seneca Hill Winery recently purchased land for the purpose of establishing a new vineyard. Management is considering two varieties of white grapes for the new vineyard: Chardonnay and Riesling. The Chardonnay grapes would be used to produce a dry Chardonnay wine, and the Riesling grapes would be used to produce a semidry Riesling wine. It takes approximately four years from the time of planting before new grapes can be harvested. This length of time creates a great deal of uncertainty concerning future demand and makes the decision concerning the type of grapes to plant difficult. Three possibilities are being considered: Chardonnay grapes only; Riesling grapes only; and both Chardonnay and Riesling grapes. Seneca management decided that for planning purposes it would be adequate to consider only two demand possibilities for each type of wine: strong or weak. With two possibilities for each type of wine it was necessary to assess four probabilities. With the help of some forecasts in…1. Explain the hypotheses of H1, H2 and H3.4. "Family Man," a construction company, is considering whether to bid on a contract for a new housing complex. The cost of preparing a bid USD 200,000. “Family Man" has a 0.8 probability of winning the contract, if it submits the bid. If "Family Man" wins the bid, it has to pay USD 2000,000 to be a project partner of the project. As per the usual practice, "Family Man" will then consider consulting a market research firm "Marquess" to conduct a market survey to forecast the demand of housing complex before beginning the construction. "Marquess" charges a fee of USD 150,000. Now, the demand scenario can be either "High demand" or "Low demand." "Family Man" gets a revenue of USD 5000,000 and USD 3000,000 in case of "High demand" and "Low demand" scenario, respectively. On the other hand, instead of construction, "Family Man" has a provision of selling its project rights to another project partner construction company at the price USD 3500,000. As per the historical data, "Marquess"…