Which statement is true? Always select a portfolio on a person's highest indifference curve, to achieve maximum attainable utility & To achieve the highest utility, select the portfolio where the highest attainable indifference curve is tangential to the efficiency frontier To achieve the highest utility, first choose the best efficiency frontier and then select the highest returns portfolio To achieve the highest utility, select the portfolio where the highest attainable indifference curve is tangential to the efficiency frontier Always select a portfolio on a person's highest indifference rurve, to achieve maximum attainable utility Select the portfolio with the lowest risk to achieve maximum utility
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- a Suppose you are given a choice between thefollowing options:A1: Win $30 for sureA2: 80% chance of winning $45 and 20% chance ofA2: winning nothing B1: 25% chance of winning $30B2: 20% chance of winning $45Most people prefer A1 to A2 and B2 to B1. Explainwhy this behavior violates the assumption that decisionmakers maximize expected utility.b Now suppose you play the following game: You havea 75% chance of winning nothing and a 25% chance ofplaying the second stage of the game. If you reach thesecond stage, you have a choice of two options (C1 andC2), but your choice must be made now, before youreach the second stage.C1: Win $30 for sureC2: 80% chance of winning $45 13.5 Bayes’ Rule and Decision Trees 767Most people choose C1 over C2 and B2 to B1 (from part(a)). Explain why this again violates the assumption ofexpected utility maximization. Tversky and Kahneman(1981) speculate that most people are attracted to thesure $30 in the second stage, even though the secondstage may never be…You and a coworker are assigned a team project on which your likelihood or a promotion will be decidedon. It is now the night before the project is due and neither has yet to start it. You both want toreceive a promotion next year, but you both also want to go to your company’s holiday party that night.Each of you wants to maximize his or her own happiness (likelihood of a promotion and mingling withyour colleagues “on the company’s dime”). If you both work, you deliver an outstanding presentation.If you both go to the party, your presentation is mediocre. If one parties and the other works, yourpresentation is above average. Partying increases happiness by 25 units. Working on the project addszero units to happiness. Happiness is also affected by your chance of a promotion, which is depends on howgood your project is. An outstanding presentation gives 40 units of happiness to each of you; an aboveaverage presentation gives 30 units of happiness; a mediocre presentation gives 10 units…Betty is looking for a job. She considers job opportunities intwo cities. Bettyís utility is given by y- x, where y is the lifetime income andx is the amount spent on buying a house. The income from City 1 fluctuatesalthough the house price is stable. On the contrary, the income from City2 is stable while the house price fluctuates. If she moves to City 1, Bettycan earn a lifetime income y1 with probability alpha and 1 + y1 with probability1-alpha . The house price in City 1 is x1. Moving to City 2 means that Bettycan earn an income of y2. However, the house price is x2 with probabilitygamma and 1 + x2 with probability 1-gamma . Do the following: (a) Write down theexpected utilities associated with living in the two respective cities, i.e., V1and V2. (b) Derive the condition under which Betty chooses City 1.
- 1. A woman with current wealth X has the opportunity to bet an amount on the o ccurrence of an event that she knows will occur with probability P. If she wager s W, she will received 2W, if the event occur and if it does not. Assume that t he Bernoulli utility function takes the form u(x) = -e-TX with r> 0. How much should she wager? Does her utility function exhibit CARA, DARA, IARA?EXERCISE 1Below is a production possibilities table for consumer goods (Food) and capital goods(Robots):A B C D EFood 0 1 2 3 4Robots 10 9 7 4 01. Show these data graphically. Upon what specific assumptions is this productionpossibilities curve based?2. If the economy is at point C, what is the cost of one more food? Of one morerobot? Explain how the production possibilities curve reflects the law ofincreasing opportunity costs.3. If the economy characterized by this production possibilities table and curvewere producing 3 food and 2 robots, what could you conclude about its use ofavailable resources?4. What would production at a point outside the production possibilities curveindicate? What must occur before the economy can attain such a level ofproduction?EXERCISE 2Explain how (if at all) each of the following affects the location of a country’s productionpossibilities curve:1. The quality of education increases.2. The number of unemployed workers increases.3. A new technique…Mike has a decreasing marginal uity of income We know that Mike's income in greater than S10, but we de not know his exact inome Adam offers Mika the folloeing bet Adam wil throw a fair coin (that is, heads and tals have equal probatilty) a heada. Mke pays Adam $10. ta Adam pays Mke S10 What can we conclude from this infonmation? O Mike will reject the bet only it his income is high emought Ob. Mike will reject the bet, independently of how high his income is Oc Mke wil accept the bet independently of how high his income is Od Mke will accept the bet only if his income is high enought O Mka will always be indiferent between accepting and rejecting the bet
- Suppose there is a 50–50 chance that a risk-averse individual with a current wealth of $20,000 will contract a debilitating disease and suffer a loss of $10,000. a. Calculate the cost of actuarially fair insurance in this situation and use a utility-of-wealth graph (such as shown in Figure 7.1) to show that the individual will prefer fair insurance against this loss to accepting the gamble uninsured. b. Suppose two types of insurance policies were available: (1) a fair policy covering the complete loss; and (2) a fair policy covering only half of any loss incurred. Calculate the cost of the second type of policy and show that the individual will generally regard it as inferior to the first. Reference: Figure 7.1ayesha derives utility from travelling and outdoor dinning o weekends as given utility function U(t,d)=TD.the price of a day spent travelling is $160{Pt=160} and price of dining outdoor $200{Pd=200}.ayesha annual budget for this is $8000. find ayesha's utility maximizing choice of days travelling and dining outside. and alsoo find uutility level from consuming that bundles .show findings graphicallyEconomics Shawn's consumption is subject to risk. With probability 0.75 he will enjoy 10000 in consumption, but with probability 0.25 he will have only 3600. His utility function for consumption is given by v(c) = Vc. -What is the expected value of Shawn's consumption? -What is his expected utility? -What is his certainty equivalent of having 10000 with probability 0.75 and 3600 with probability 0.25?
- 1. A standard model of choice under risk is Expected Utility Theory (EUT) in which preferences over lotteries that pay monetary prizes (x₁, x2, ..., xs) with probabilities (P1, P2, ..., Ps) with Eps = 1 are represented by the function L S (a) What does it mean to say that a function represents the consumer's prefer- ences? Σpsu(xs) Choice 1 8=1 (b) State and briefly comment on the axioms required for the EUT representation. (c) Consider the following experiment of decision making under risk in which sub- jects are asked which lottery they prefer in each of the following two choices: Lottery B 0 with prob. 0.01 10 with prob. 0.89 50 with prob. 0.10 Lottery D Choice 2 Lottery A 0 with prob. 0 10 with prob. 1 50 with prob. 0 Lottery C 0 with prob. 0.90 10 with prob. 0 50 with prob. 0.10 Suppose that the modal responses are Lottery A in Choice 1 and Lottery D in Choice 2. Assume that utility of zero is equal to zero and illustrate why it is not possible to reconcile these experimental…Assuming you are risk neutral, frast answer the folowing two questions about your preferences: Scenario A: You are given $5.000 and offered a choice beheeen receiving an extra $2.500 with certainty or fipping a coin and getting $5.000 t heads or S0 if tain. Which option do you prefer? A The certain $2.500 is more valuable than the uncertain $5.000, I would choose the $2.500 Both options have identical payofs, so l am indiferent between the two options. The possibility of the 5.000 payoff is more valuable to me than the oertain $2.500, I chocse to fio a coin Scenario B. You are given $10.000 f you wil make the following choice: retum $2.500 or fip a coin and retum $5.000 heads and so tai. Which opton do you prefer? A The certain los of S$2.500 is more paintu than the possible loss of $5,000, I choose to fip a coin. OR The ponsibility of the los of $5.000 is more paintul to me than the certain los of $2.500, I would choose the $2.500 certan loss re Both options have identical payoffs, so…Jin's Utility Function Wealth Utility (Dollars) 60,000 4,000 61,000 4,110 62,000 4,209 63,000 4,288 Refer to Table 27-1. If Jin's current wealth is $61,000, then O his gain in utility from gaining $1,000 is less than his loss in utility from losing $1,000. Jin is not risk averse. O his gain in utility from gaining $1,000 is greater than his loss in utility from losing $1,000. Jin is not risk averse. O his gain in utility from gaining $1,000 is greater than his loss in utility from losing $1,000. Jin is risk averse. his gain in utility from gaining $1,000 is less than his loss in utility from losing $1,000. Jin is risk averse.