2. The interest rate in European bank is 5% now, and the exchange rate is currently 1.05 dollars per euro. If you expect that the exchange rate will be 0.95 dollars per euro one year from now, what is the expected interest rate in the American bank?
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- Using the UIP equation, assume that the expected future rate (after one year) for euros (in terms of dollars) equals $1.20, while the current spot rate is 1.15. The current interest rate on euro deposits is 2%, and the interest rate on dollar deposits is 3%. Should you invest in the US or in Europe? Neither one In the US In Europe It is indifferentSuppose that the interest rate on a US dollar deposit is 3% and the interest rate on a Japanese yen deposit is 1%. Today’s exchange rate is $1/¥ and the expected rate one year in the future is $1.2/¥, so $100 today can be exchanges for ¥100. Which currency deposit yield a higher expected rate of return (which currency investors should be willing to hold)? Why?Suppose that the annualized inflation in the US is 3% while annual inflation in Europe is 1%. If the current exchange rate is $1.40 per Euro that would you expect the exchange rate to be in one year? If the exchange rate one year from now turns out to be $1.50 per Euro, what has happened to the real exchange rate?
- Suppose that the current EUR/GBP rate is 0.6668 and the one-year forward exchange rate is 0.6742. The one-year interest rate is 1.8% in euros and 3.6% in pounds. You can borrow at most €1,000,000 or the equivalent pound amount. Suppose you are a pound-based investor. Determine the profit/loss (in GBP, no cents) if you borrow locally and invest in Euros.Suppose you observe that 90-day interest rate across the eurozone is 5%, while the interest rate in the U.S. over the same time period is 1%. Further, the spot rate and the 90-day forward rate on the euro are both $1.60. You have $500,000 that you wish to use in order to engage in covered interest arbitrage. To start, you exchange your $500,000 for (for when you convert the euros back to dollars), you euros, and deposit the funds in a bank in the eurozone. To lock in the exchange rate euros forward at a forward rate of $1.60.Suppose that the current EUR/GBP rate is 0.6674 and the one-year forward exchange rate is 0.6748. The one-year interest rate is 1.4% in euros and 3.4% in pounds. You can borrow at most €1,000,000 or the equivalent pound amount. Suppose you are a Euro-based investor. Determine the profit/loss (in EUR, no cents) if you borrow locally and invest in pounds
- 2. Suppose today's exchange rate is $1.23/€. The three-month interest rates on dollars and euros are 6% and 3 % (both anual rates), respectively. The three-month forward rate is $1.25. A foreign exchange advisory service has predicted that the euro will appreciate to $1.27 within three months. Consider 1 million euros. a.. How would you use forward contracts to speculate in the above situation? b. How would you use money market instruments (borrowing and lending) to speculate? C. Which alternatives (forward contracts or money market instruments) would you prefer? Why? d. Can you make profits without risks? If so, explain and calculate how you do that.A. Suppose the dollar interest rate and the euro interest rate are the same and equal 2 percent per year. Suppose the expected future $/€ exchange rate is $1.20 per 1 €. Suppose now Euro interest rate decreases to 1 percent per year. Determine how the new equilibrium $/€ exchange rate will change if the US interest rate remains constant. B. Indicate how the change in the Euro interest rate will affect the equilibrium $/€ exchange rate and the expected return on euro assets. Explain the changes on the graph.Suppose the current USD/EUR spot exchange rate is 1.20$/ €. At the same the euro interest rate amount to 10% per year while the dollar interest rate is 0% per year. a. What is the no-arbitrage one-year USD/EUR forward exchange? b. Suppose the one-year USD/EUR forward exchange was 1.25$/ €. How could you make money from this situation? 4
- 3. Money and foreign Exchange Markets in Frankfurt and New York are very efficient. Using the following Market information, answer the following questions: Spot Exchange rate: 1.1200 $/ € One year interest rate in New York: 3.25% One year interest rate in Frankfurt: 2.15 % Expected inflation rate in Frankfurt: 1.15 % a) What do the financial Markets suggest for inflation in the US next year? b) Estimate Today's one year forward Exchange rate between the dollar and the euro. c) Calculate real interest rate in both countries d) Calculate Expected Spot Exchange rate in one yearPlease provide all your answers round to 4 decimal places. Profits should be reported as positive numbers and losses as negative numbers. M As of today, the spot exchange rate is ¥0.65 / € and the rates of inflation expected to prevail for the next year in Japan is 1 % and 2 % in the euro zone. What is the forecast for what the exchange rate will be in one year if the PPP holds? Question 7If the current exchange rate is $1.70/£, the one-year forward exchange rate is $1.80/£, and the interest rate on British government bills is 5% per year, what risk-free dollar-denominated return can be locked in by investing in the British bills? (Do not round intermediate calculations. Round your answer to 2 decimal places.) Risk-free dollar-denominated return %