a. Predict the sales for Jasmine Slush using the following forecasting methods: - naïve (use simple naive method, forecast this period=actual value of last period); -3-day moving average method:

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Pink Table, a snack shop has recorded sales
for its best-selling cold drink, shown as
follows:
Day
Jasmine Slush (12 oz)
1
125
2
136
3
127
4
123
142
6.
148
7
139
8.
140
154
10
158
Transcribed Image Text:Pink Table, a snack shop has recorded sales for its best-selling cold drink, shown as follows: Day Jasmine Slush (12 oz) 1 125 2 136 3 127 4 123 142 6. 148 7 139 8. 140 154 10 158
a. Predict the sales for Jasmine Slush using
the following forecasting methods:
- naïve (use simple naive method, forecast
this period=actual value of last period);
- 3-day moving average method;
- weighted average method using the
following weights: 45%,30%,25%;
- exponential smoothing with smoothing
constant alpha equal to 10%, assume
forecast for day 1 for each of the 3 products
is the sales for day1;
- linear trend line.
b. Using the results in a), compute the error
(MSE, MAD, and MAPE) for each of the
methods used.
c. Which forecasting technique will you
recommend to predict the sales of Jasmine
Slush Explain and support your answer
quantitatively.
Transcribed Image Text:a. Predict the sales for Jasmine Slush using the following forecasting methods: - naïve (use simple naive method, forecast this period=actual value of last period); - 3-day moving average method; - weighted average method using the following weights: 45%,30%,25%; - exponential smoothing with smoothing constant alpha equal to 10%, assume forecast for day 1 for each of the 3 products is the sales for day1; - linear trend line. b. Using the results in a), compute the error (MSE, MAD, and MAPE) for each of the methods used. c. Which forecasting technique will you recommend to predict the sales of Jasmine Slush Explain and support your answer quantitatively.
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