Fundamentals of Corporate Finance
Fundamentals of Corporate Finance
11th Edition
ISBN: 9780077861704
Author: Stephen A. Ross Franco Modigliani Professor of Financial Economics Professor, Randolph W Westerfield Robert R. Dockson Deans Chair in Bus. Admin., Bradford D Jordan Professor
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Education
Question
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Chapter 11, Problem 21QP
Summary Introduction

To determine: The best-case and worst-case net present value (NPV)

Introduction:

Net present value (NPV) refers to the current discounted value of the future cash flows. The company should accept the project, if the net present value is positive or greater than zero and vice-versa. If there are two mutually exclusive projects, then the company has to select the project that has higher net present value.

Expert Solution & Answer
Check Mark

Answer to Problem 21QP

The best-case NPV is $53,849,087.272.

The NPVof worst-caseis -$19,007,791.712.

Explanation of Solution

Given information:

The new clubs sold $715 per set and number of sets sold is 75,000 set per year. The cheaper club was sold for $425 per set and number of sets sold is 12,000 set per year. The expensive clubs was sold for $1,150 in which the company has lost sales of 10,000 sets.

The variable cost of the new club is $385 per set, variable cost of the expensive cub is $620, and the variable cost of the cheaper club is $195. The fixed costs each years is $9,400,000. The accurate estimate is ±10%.

Formula:

The formula to calculate best-case of unit sales projection under the scenario analysis:

Unit sales for best case = [Value of base case for unit sales +(  Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for unit sales)]

The formula to calculate best-case of price projection under the scenario analysis:

Price for best case = [Value of base case for price +(  Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for price)]

The formula to calculate best-case of variable costs projection under the scenario analysis:

Variable costs for best case = [Value of base case for variable costs ( Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for variable costs)]

The formula to calculate best-case of fixed costs projection under the scenario analysis:

Fixed costs for best case = [Value of base case for fixed costs( Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for fixed costs)]

The formula to calculate best-case of sales lost projection under the scenario analysis:

Sales lost for best case = [Value of base case for sales lost( Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for sales lost)]

The formula to calculate best-case of sales gained projection under the scenario analysis:

Sales gained for best case = [Value of base case for sales gained+( Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for sales gained)]

The formula to calculate worst-case of unit sales projection under the scenario analysis:

Unit sales for worst case = [Value of base case for unit sales (  Percenatge of accurate estimate×?Value of base case for unit sales)]

The formula to calculate worst-case of price projection under the scenario analysis:

Price for worst case = [Value of base case for price (  Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for price)]

The formula to calculate worst-case of variable costs projection under the scenario analysis:

Variable costs for worst case = [Value of base case for variable costs( Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for variable costs)]

The formula to calculate worst-case of fixed costs projection under the scenario analysis:

Fixed costs for worst case = [Value of base case for fixed costs+( Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for fixed costs)]

The formula to calculate worst case of sales lost projection under the scenario analysis:

Sales lost for worst case = [Value of base case for sales lost+( Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for sales lost)]

The formula to calculate worst-case of sales gained projection under the scenario analysis:

Sales gained for worst case = [Value of base case for sales gained( Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for sales gained)]

Compute the best-case of unit sales projection under the scenario analysis:

Unit sales for best case = [Value of base case for unit sales +(  Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case forunit sales)]=[75,000+(10100×75,000)]=[75,000+(0.1×75,000)]

=75,000+7,500=82,500 units

Hence, the best-case of unit sales projection under the scenario analysis are 82,500 units.

Compute best-case of price projection under the scenario analysis:

Price for best case = [Value of base case for price +(  Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for price)]=$715+(10100×$715)=$715+(0.10×$715)

=$715+$71.5=$787

Hence, the best-case of price projection under the scenario analysis are $787.

Compute the best-case of variable costs projection under the scenario analysis:

Variable costs for best case = [Value of base case for variable costs ( Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for variable costs)]=[$385(10100×$385)]=[$385(0.10×$385)]

=$385$38.5=$347

Hence, the best-case of variable costs projection under the scenario analysis are $347.

Compute the best-case of fixed costs projection under the scenario analysis:

Fixed costs for best case = [Value of base case for fixed costs( Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for fixed costs)]=[$9,400,000(10100×$9,400,000)]=[$9,400,000(0.10×$9,400,000)]

=$9,400,000$940,000=$8,460,000

Hence, the best-case of fixed costs projection under the scenario analysis are $8,460,000.

Compute best-case of sales lost projection under the scenario analysis:

Sales lost for best case = [Value of base case for sales lost( Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for sales lost)]=10,000(10100×10,000)=10,000(0.10×10,000)

=10,0001,000=9,000 units

Hence, the best-case of sales lost projection under the scenario analysis are 9,000 units.

Compute the best-case of sales gained projection under the scenario analysis:

Sales gained for best case = [Value of base case for sales gained+( Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for sales gained)]=12,000+(10100×12,000)=12,000+(0.10×12,000)

=12,000+1,200=13,200 units

Hence, the best-case of sales gained projection under the scenario analysis are 13,200 units.

Compute the worst-case of unit sales projection under the scenario analysis:

Unit sales for worst case = [Value of base case unit sales  (  Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case unit sales)]=[75,000(10100×75,000)]=[75,000(0.10×75,000)]

=75,0007,500=67,500 units

Hence, the worst-case of unit sales projection under the scenario analysis are 67,500 units.

Compute worst-case of price projection under the scenario analysis:

Price for worst case = [Value of base case for price +(  Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for price)]=$715(10100×$715)=$715(0.10×$715)

=$715$71.5=$644

Hence, the worst-case of price projection under the scenario analysis are $644.

Compute the worst-case of variable costs projection under the scenario analysis:

Variable costs for worst case = [Value of base case for variable costs( Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for variable costs)]=[$385+(10100×$385)]=[$385+(0.10×$385)]

=$385+$38.5=$424

Hence, the worst-case of variable costs projection under the scenario analysis are $424.

Compute the worst-case of fixed costs projection under the scenario analysis:

Fixed costs for worst case = [Value of base case for fixed costs+( Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for fixed costs)]=$9,400,000+(10100×$9,400,000)=$9,400,000+(0.10×$9,400,000)

=$9,400,000+$940,000=$10,340,000

Hence, the worst-case of fixed costs projection under the scenario analysis are $10,340,000.

Compute worst-case of sales lost projection under the scenario analysis:

Sales lost for worst case = [Value of base case for sales lost+( Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for sales lost)]=10,000+(10100×10,000)=10,000+(0.10×10,000)

=10,000+1,000=11,000 units

Hence, the worst-case of sales lost projection under the scenario analysis are 11,000 units.

Compute the worst-case of sales gained projection under the scenario analysis:

Sales gained for worst case = [Value of base case for sales gained( Percenatge of accurate estimate× Value of base case for sales gained)]=12,000(10100×12,000)=12,000(0.10×12,000)

=12,0001,200=10,800 units

Hence, the worst-case of sales gained projection under the scenario analysis are 10,800 units.

Note: After estimating the best-case and worst-case for the variables find out the total sales and total variable costs for the best-case scenario in each variable.

Formulae:

The formula to calculate total sales:

Total sales=Sales per units×Number of units sold

The formula to calculate total variable costs:

Total Variable costs=Variable costs per units×Number of units of sold

The formula to calculate total sales of the entire clubs:

Total sales of all clubs=(Total sales of new clubs+ Total sales of expensive clubs+Total sales of cheaper clubs)

The formula to calculate total variable costs of the entire clubs:

Total variable costs of all clubs=(Total variable costs of new clubs+ Total variable costs of expensive clubs+Total variable costs of cheaper clubs)

Compute the total sales of new clubs:

Total sales=Sales per units×Number of units sold=$787×82,500=$64,927,500

Hence, the total sales of the new clubs are $64,927,500.

Compute the total sales of expensive clubs:

Total sales=Sales per units×Number of units sold=$1,150×9,000=$10,350,000

Hence, the total sales of the expensive clubs are -$10,350,000.

Compute the total sales of cheaper clubs:

Total sales=Sales per units×Number of units sold=$425×13,200=$5,610,000

Hence, the total sales of the cheaper clubs are $5,610,000.

Compute the total sales of the entire clubs:

Total sales of all clubs=(Total sales of new clubs+ Total sales of expensive clubs+Total sales of cheaper clubs)=$64,927,500+($10,350,000)+$5,100,000=$64,927,500$10,350,000+$5,610,000=$60,187,500

Hence, the total sales of the entire clubs are $60,187,500.

Table that indicating the entire sales for clubs:

Particulars

Price

per sets

(in $)

(A)

Number of set

Sold

(in units)

(B)

Total sales

(in $)

(C)=(A)×(B)

New clubs787                    82,50064,927,500
Expensive clubs1,150                   (9,000)(10,350,000)
Cheaper clubs425                    13,2005,610,000
Total sales  60,187,500

Hence, the total sales for the entire clubs are $60,187,500.

Compute total variable costs of new clubs:

Total Variable costs=Variable costs per units×Number of units of sold=$347×82,500=$28,627,500

Hence, the total variable costs of the new clubs are $28,627,500.

Compute total variable costs of expensive clubs:

Total Variable costs=Variable costs per units×Number of units of sold=($620)×(9,000)=$5,580,000

Hence, the total variable costs of the expensive clubs are $5,580,000.

Compute total variable costs of cheaper clubs:

Total Variable costs=Variable costs per units×Number of units of sold=($195)×13,200=$2,574,000

Hence, the total variable costs of the cheaper clubs are $2,574,000.

Compute the total variable costs of the entire clubs:

Total variable costs of all clubs=(Total variable costs of new clubs+ Total variable costs of expensive clubs+Total variable costs of cheaper clubs)=($28,627,500)+$5,580,000+($2,574,000)=$25,621,500

Hence, the total variable costs of the entire clubs are -$25,621,500.

Table that indicating the variable costs:

Particulars

Variable cost per

Sets

(in $)

(A)

Number of set sold

(in units)

(B)

Total variable costs

(in $)

(C)=(A)×(B)

New clubs($347)82,500($28,627,500)
Expensive clubs($620)(9,000)$5,580,000
Cheaper clubs($195)13,200($2,574,000)
Total variable costs  ($25,621,500)

Hence, the variable costs for the clubs are −$25,621,500.

Note: Inorder toprepare pro forma income statement, depreciation of plant and equipment, Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), and tax has to be computed to ascertain net income from this statement.

The formula to calculate depreciation of plant and equipment:

Depreciation expense=Cost of the assetsUseful life

The formula to calculate EBIT:

EBIT=Sales(Variable costs+Fixed costs+Depreciation)

The formula to calculate tax when tax rate is given:

Tax=EBIT×Tax rate

The formula to calculate net income:

Net income=EBITTax

Compute depreciation expense of plant and equipment:

Depreciation expense=Cost of the assetsUseful life=$30,100,0007=$4,300,000

Hence, the depreciation expense is $4,300,000.

Compute the EBIT:

EBIT=Sales(Variable costs+Fixed costs+Depreciation)=$60,187,500($25,621,500+$8,460,000+$4,300,000)=$60,187,500$38,381,500=$21,806,000

Hence, the EBIT is $21,806,000.

Compute tax when tax rate is given:

Tax=EBIT×Tax rate=$21,806,000×(40100)=$21,806,000×0.40=$8,722,400

Hence, the tax is $8,722,400.

Compute the net income:

Net income=EBITTax=$21,806,000$8,722,400=$13,083,600

Hence, the net income is $13,083,600.

Table that indicating pro form income statement:

Pro forma income statement
Particulars

Amounts

(in $)

Sales60,187,500
Variable costs25,627,500
Fixed costs8,460,000
Depreciation4,300,000
Earnings before interest and taxes21,806,000
Taxes8,722,400
Net income13,083,600

Hence, the net income as per the pro forma income statement is $13,083,600.

Note: After preparing pro forma income statement, determine the operating cash flow (OCF) and NPV of best-case.

The formula to calculate OCF:

OCF=Net income+Depreciation

The formula to calculate NPV (after change in price):

NPV=[ Initial investmentNew working capital+ OCF×(Present value of an annuity of $1 period for R% of N period)+New working capital(1+Cost of capital)]

Where,

OCF refers to the operating cash flows

Compute the operating cash flow (OCF):

OCF=Net income + Depreciation=$13,083,600+$4,300,000=$17,383,600

Hence, the OCF is $17,383,600.

Compute the NPV:

NPV=[ Initial investmentNew working capital+ OCF×(Present value of an annuity of $1 period for R% of N period)+New working capital(1+Cost of capital)t]=[$30,100,000$1,400,000+$17,383,600×(Present value of an annuity of $1 period for 10% of 7 period)+$1,400,000(1+10100)7]=$31,500,000+$17,383,600×(4.86842)+($1,400,000(1+0.10)7)=$31,500,000+$84,630,665.912+($1,400,0001.9487171)

=$53,130,665.912+$718,421.36=$53,849,087.272

Hence, the NPVof best-caseis $53,849,087.272.

Note: After estimating the NPV of best-case find out the total sales and total variable costs for the worst-case scenario in each variable.

Formulae:

The formula to calculate total sales:

Total sales=Sales per units×Number of units sold

The formula to calculate total variable costs:

Total Variable costs=Variable costs per units×Number of units of sold

The formula to calculate total sales of the entire clubs:

Total sales of all clubs=(Total sales of new clubs+ Total sales of expensive clubs+Total sales of cheaper clubs)

The formula to calculate total variable costs of the entire clubs:

Total variable costs of all clubs=(Total variable costs of new clubs+ Total variable costs of expensive clubs+Total variable costs of cheaper clubs)

Compute the total sales of new clubs:

Total sales=Sales per units×Number of units sold=$644×67,500=$43,470,000

Hence, the total sales of the new clubs are $43,470,000.

Compute the total sales of expensive clubs:

Total sales=Sales per units×Number of units sold=$1,150×11,000=$12,650,000

Hence, the total sales of the expensive clubs are -$12,650,000.

Compute the total sales of cheaper clubs:

Total sales=Sales per units×Number of units sold=$425×10,800=$4,590,000

Hence, the total sales of the cheaper clubs are $4,590,000.

Compute the total sales of the entire clubs:

Total sales of all clubs=(Total sales of new clubs+ Total sales of expensive clubs+Total sales of cheaper clubs)=$43,470,000+($12,650,000)+$4,590,000=$43,470,000$12,650,000+$4,590,000=$35,410,000

Hence, the total sales of the entire clubs are $35,410,000.

Table that indicating the entire sales for clubs:

Particulars

Price

per sets

(in $)

(A)

Number of set

sold

(in units)

(B)

Total sales

(in $)

(C)=(A)×(B)

New clubs644                    67,50043,470,000
Expensive clubs1,150(11,000) (12,650,000)
Cheaper clubs425                    10,8004,590,000
Total sales  35,410,000

Hence, the total sales for the entire clubs are $35,410,000.

Compute total variable costs of new clubs:

Total Variable costs=Variable costs per units×Number of units of sold=$424×67,500=$28,620,000

Hence, the total variable costs of the new clubs are $28,620,000.

Compute total variable costs of expensive clubs:

Total Variable costs=Variable costs per units×Number of units of sold=($620)×(11,000)=$6,820,000

Hence, the total variable costs of the expensive clubs are $6,820,000.

Compute total variable costs of cheaper clubs:

Total Variable costs=Variable costs per units×Number of units of sold=($195)×10,800=$2,106,000

Hence, the total variable costs of the cheaper clubs are -$2,106,000.

Compute the total variable costs of the entire clubs:

Total variable costs of all clubs=(Total variable costs of new clubs+ Total variable costs of expensive clubs+Total variable costs of cheaper clubs)=($28,620,000)+$6,820,000+($2,106,000)=$23,906,000

Hence, the total variable costs of the entire clubs are -$23,906,000.

Table that indicating the variable costs:

Particulars

Variable cost per sets

(in $)

(A)

Number of set sold

(in units)

(B)

Total variable costs

(in $)

(C)=(A)×(B)

New clubs($424)67,500($28,620,000)
Expensive clubs($620)(11,000)$6,820,000
Cheaper clubs($195)10,800($2,106,000)
Total variable costs  ($23,906,000)

Hence, the variable costs for the clubs are -$23,906,000.

Note: Inorder toprepare pro forma income statement, depreciation Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT), and tax has to be computed to ascertain net income from this statement.

The formula to calculate EBIT:

EBIT=Sales(Variable costs+Fixed costs+Depreciation)

The formula to calculate tax when tax rate is given:

Tax=EBIT×Tax rate

The formula to calculate net income:

Net income=EBITTax

Compute the EBIT:

EBIT=Sales(Variable costs+Fixed costs+Depreciation)=$35,410,000($23,906,000+$10,340,000+4,300,000)=$35,410,000$38,546,000=$3,136,000

Hence, the EBIT is -$3,136,000.

Compute tax when tax rate is given:

Tax=EBIT×Tax rate=$3,136,000×(40100)=$3,136,000×0.40=$1,254,400

Hence, the tax is -$1,254,400.

Compute the net income:

Net income=EBITTax=($3,136,000)($1,254,400)=$1,881,600

Hence, the net income is -$1,881,600.

Table that indicating pro form income statement:

Pro forma income statement
Particulars

Amounts

(in $)

Sales35,410,000
Variable costs23,906,000
Fixed costs10,340,000
Depreciation4,300,000
Earnings before interest and taxes-3,136,000
Taxes-1,254,400
Net income-1,881,600

Hence, the net income as per the pro forma income statement is −$1,881,600.

Note: After preparing pro forma income statement, determine the operating cash flow (OCF) and NPV of worst-case.

The formula to calculate OCF:

OCF=Net income+Depreciation

The formula to calculate NPV (after change in price):

NPV=[ Initial investmentNew working capital+ OCF×(Present value of an annuity of $1 period for R% of N period)+New working capital(1+Cost of capital)]

Where,

OCF refers to the operating cash flows

Compute the operating cash flow (OCF):

OCF=Net income + Depreciation=$1,881,600+$4,300,000=$2,418,400

Hence, the OCF is $2,418,400.

Compute the NPV:

NPV=[ Initial investmentNew working capital+ OCF×(Present value of an annuity of $1 period for R% of N period)+New working capital(1+Cost of capital)t]=[$30,100,000$1,400,000+$2,418,400×(Present value of an annuity of $1 period for 10% of 7 period)+$1,400,000(1+10100)7]=$31,500,000+$2,418,400×(4.86842)+($1,400,000(1+0.10)7)=$31,500,000+$11,773,786.928+($1,400,0001.9487171)

=$19,726,213.072+$718,421.36=$19,007,791.712

Hence, the NPVof worst-caseis -$19,007,791.712.

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Chapter 11 Solutions

Fundamentals of Corporate Finance

Ch. 11.5 - What is operating leverage?Ch. 11.5 - How is operating leverage measured?Ch. 11.5 - Prob. 11.5CCQCh. 11.6 - What is capital rationing? What types are there?Ch. 11.6 - Prob. 11.6BCQCh. 11 - Prob. 11.1CTFCh. 11 - Marcos Entertainment expects to sell 84,000...Ch. 11 - Delta Tool has projected sales of 8,500 units at a...Ch. 11 - What is true for a project if that project is...Ch. 11 - A capital-intensive project is one that has a...Ch. 11 - Pavloki, Inc., has three proposed projects with...Ch. 11 - Forecasting Risk [LO1] What is forecasting risk?...Ch. 11 - Sensitivity Analysis and Scenario Analysis [LO1,...Ch. 11 - Prob. 3CRCTCh. 11 - Operating Leverage [LO4] At one time at least,...Ch. 11 - Operating Leverage [LO4] Airlines offer an example...Ch. 11 - Prob. 6CRCTCh. 11 - Prob. 7CRCTCh. 11 - Prob. 8CRCTCh. 11 - Prob. 9CRCTCh. 11 - Scenario Analysis [LO2] You are at work when a...Ch. 11 - Calculating Costs and Break-Even [LO3] Night...Ch. 11 - Prob. 2QPCh. 11 - Scenario Analysis [LO2] Sloan Transmissions, Inc.,...Ch. 11 - Sensitivity Analysis [LO1] For the company in the...Ch. 11 - Sensitivity Analysis and Break-Even [LO1, 3] We...Ch. 11 - Prob. 6QPCh. 11 - Prob. 7QPCh. 11 - Calculating Break-Even [LO3] In each of the...Ch. 11 - Calculating Break-Even [LO3] A project has the...Ch. 11 - Using Break-Even Analysis [LO3] Consider a project...Ch. 11 - Calculating Operating Leverage [LO4] At an output...Ch. 11 - Leverage [LO4] In the previous problem, suppose...Ch. 11 - Operating Cash Flow and Leverage [LO4] A proposed...Ch. 11 - Cash Flow and Leverage [LO4] At an output level of...Ch. 11 - Prob. 15QPCh. 11 - Prob. 16QPCh. 11 - Sensitivity Analysis [LO1] Consider a four-year...Ch. 11 - Operating Leverage [LO4] In the previous problem,...Ch. 11 - Project Analysis [LO1, 2, 3, 4] You are...Ch. 11 - Project Analysis [LO1, 2] McGilla Golf has decided...Ch. 11 - Prob. 21QPCh. 11 - Sensitivity Analysis [LO1] McGilla Golf would like...Ch. 11 - Break-Even Analysis [LO3] Hybrid cars are touted...Ch. 11 - Break-Even Analysis [LO3] In an effort to capture...Ch. 11 - Prob. 25QPCh. 11 - Operating Leverage and Taxes [LO4] Show that if we...Ch. 11 - Scenario Analysis [LO2] Consider a project to...Ch. 11 - Sensitivity Analysis [LO1] In Problem 27, suppose...Ch. 11 - Prob. 29QPCh. 11 - Prob. 30QP
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